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    QUEST - Childhood

 


AUTHOR
David Novosad 

Children’s self reported psychotic symptoms and adult schizophreniform disorder 

Chairman’s Rounds, ? 

Citation: Poulton R, Caspi A, Moffitt TE, et al.  Children’s self reported psychotic symptoms and adult schizophreniform disorder: A 15-year longitudinal study.  Arch Gen Psychiatry 2000; 57: 1053-1058. 

Clinical question: Are there childhood risk factors for the development of adult schizophrenia? 

Study Design Type: Prospective cohort 

Methods:

            Patient population: A birth cohort born between April 1, 1972 and March 31, 1973 in Dunedin, New Zealand.  91% (1037) of births participated at age 3.  Data used from age 11 and age 26 assessments.  789 births had psychiatric interviews at age 11.  972 had psychiatric interviews at age 26.  761 were psychiatrically assessed at both ages.  Those included vs. omitted (assessed at age 26 and not age 11) did not differ significantly in psychiatric diagnosis.  Study members assessed via DISC-C for DSM-III at age 11.  5 questions from schizophrenia section scored from 0-2.  Children placed into 3 groups (no symptoms, weak symptoms, and strong symptoms).  Study members assessed via DIS at age 26.

            Outcomes: Schizophreniform disorder.  Eliminated symptoms with plausible explanations and related to alcohol or drug use or a major depressive episode.  For diagnosis, study members must have 1 hallucination symptoms and 2 other symptoms reported as “yes, definitely” from criterion A of DSM.  For diagnosis, study members must also have evidence of impairment in at least one area of social or occupational functioning (long term unemployment, poor money management skills, not in a relationship, paranoia, social isolation, poor personal grooming.)  These symptoms must occur for at least one month.  Several of these symptoms were determined by informants and observers as well as self-report.

            Analysis: Evaluated relationship with Mantel-Haenszel x2 test and logistic regression equations.  Equations contained dummy variables representing both strong and weak symptom groups.  Control group was children at age 11 with no symptoms.  Results reported with ORs and 95% CIs. 

Validity Criteria: Patient sample was clearly defined.  The 3 age 11 risk groups did not differ by parental SES or on WIS for Children-Revised Full Scale IQ test.  Prevalence of mental disorders in Dunedin sample matched prevalence in US National Comorbidity Survey.  All patients were accounted for and 95% of patients alive at age 26 were assessed.  Outcome criteria were objective and unbiased and explained in a detailed and transparent manner.  Sex, social class origins, and age-11 IQ scores were controlled for in the analysis of the cohort.

Main Results: Weak symptom group was more likely to meet criteria for adult schizophreniform disorder (OR, 5.1; 95% CI, 1.7-18.3).  Strong symptom group was even more likely to meet criteria for diagnosis (OR, 16.4; 95% CI, 3.9-67.8).  Odds ratios were unchanged after controlling for sex, social class origins, and age-11 IQ scores.  See Table 1.  Strong symptom group members were not more likely to have a diagnosis of mania or depressive disorder.  Both weak and strong symptom groups were more likely than no symptom children to develop an anxiety disorder, although less likely than for schizophreniform disorder.  See Table 2.  No children in the cohort had a diagnosis of childhood schizophrenia.  One half of strong symptom group had no psychiatric diagnosis at age 11 and those without psychiatric diagnosis were just as likely to report delusions or hallucinations at age 26.  

Conclusions: This prospective cohort study demonstrates an association between childhood psychotic symptoms and adult schizophreniform disorder.  The strengths of the study included prospective cohort design with all patients accounted for and transparent reporting of methods and results.  Weaknesses included those inherent to the study design.  Other weaknesses are the sample has not yet passed through the entire risk period for psychosis, not all interviews at age 26 were conducted by a psychiatrist, psychotic symptoms were also associated with anxiety disorders, and findings of this study are based on small groups.

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AUTHOR
Doug Burgess 

SSRIs and routine specialist care with and without cognitive behavioral therapy in adolescents 

Chairman’s Rounds, August 13, 2007 

Goodyer I, et al. Selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (SSRIs and routine specialist care with and without cognitive behavioral therapy in adolescents with major depression: randomized controlled trial. BMJ, 2007;335:142

Is the combination of SSRI and CBT superior to SSRI alone in improving the general functioning of adolescents with moderate to severe major depression? 

Depression in adolescence is a serious disorder that is both prevalent and carries relatively high risk for suicide and the development of other psychiatric disorders later in life.  Results from the treatment of adolescent depression study (TADS) indicated that fluoxetine in conjunction with CBT was superior to fluoxetine alone in treating adolescent depression and possibly preventing suicide.  Subsequent studies have failed to reproduce these results raising questions about the study’s validity. 

Therapy Validity Criteria:  Follow up was complete and all patients who entered the trial were accounted for at its completion.  Patients were randomized and the randomization was concealed from the evaluators (although not the physicians).  The groups were similar and all participants were analyzed within the groups they were initially assigned.  The study was not blinded to patients or physicians although assessors were not aware of group allocation.  With the exception of CBT participation, groups were treated equally. 

Randomized Controlled Trial criteria for appropriate design: The trial was funded by NS Health Technology Assessment, University hospitals and a non-profit mental health trust.  Although physicians and participants of the trial were aware of the groups they had been assigned to, evaluators remained blinded.  Patients were followed up at 12 weeks and 28 weeks.  They were chosen from six specialist outpatient psychiatry clinics and referred to 2 major University clinics in England.  In all, 510 patients between the ages of 11 and 17 who scored 7 or higher on the Health of the Nation outcome scales were recruited. (Validated scale that indicates moderate to severe depression). Exclusion criteria included schizophrenia, bipolar disorder, pregnancy, need for immediate admission and previous SSRI+CBT with no effect.  Suicidal ideation was not an exclusion criterion.  All told, 103 patients were randomized to SSRI alone and 105 were randomized to SSRI +CBT.  The Health of the Nation outcome scale was the primary outcome measure.  Secondary outcomes were the participant rated mood and feelings questionnaire, the observer rated revised children’s depression rating scale, the children’s global assessment scale and the clinical global impression improvement scale. 191/211 participants who entered the study remained for the duration. 

Main results: Mean values for the two treatments were similar at corresponding assessments.  For the primary outcome measure (Health of the Nation) the treatment effect measured across follow up points was 0.001 (-1.52 to 1.52, P=0.99).  There was also no evidence of an interaction between baseline severity and treatment for any outcome measure.  At 28 weeks, 57/94 (61%) in the SSRI group and 52/98 (53%) of the SSRI+CBT were much or very much improved.  62% of patients in the SSRI+CBT group reported adverse events while only 59% of the SSRI group reported side effects. 

Conclusions:  This study indicates that in adolescents with moderate to severe major depression, treatment with an SSRI combined with CBT does not offer significant benefit over treatment with SSRI alone.  This conclusion stands in contrast to the conclusion of TADS, which led to the recommendation that children be started on an SSRI only if they also initiate CBT.  While the study attempted to replicate “real world” clinical settings, the degree of follow up SSRI only participants received was more intense than that offered in most clinical settings.  The similar response rates between the two groups could underscore the importance of close follow up in the treatment of depression.  This study can not be used as evidence to support the efficacy of SSRI efficacy as no placebo was utilized for control.         

 

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AUTHOR
Leigh Fylstra 

Adult Outcome for Children With Autism 

Chairman’s Rounds, March 19, 2007 

Citation: Howlin P, Goode S, Hutton J, and Rutter M. 2004. Adult outcome for children with autism. Journal of Child Psychology and Psychiatry 45: 212-229.

Clinical Question:  What factors influence long-term outcomes in individuals with autism with an IQ above 50? 

Background:  studies in pt’s with autism have found inconclusive evidence concerning prognostic factors in long term outcomes, which is a major concern for parents.  Studies show poorest outcomes with IQs below 50, but anyone with IQ below 50 rarely achieves independence.  This study investigates the long-term outcomes in pt’s with autism with IQs greater than 50.

Validity Criteria for Prognostic study
The sample size was sufficiently powered.   Pts were generally representative of clinical practice, except this population was potentially more severely handicapped, as the diagnostic criteria were more strict in 1950s-60s (n =47).  Patients were relatively homogenous with respect to prognostic risk, although they likely differed in parental support and availability of educational programs (as intensive educational programs not available in 50-60s).  The paper itself suggests that studying pt’s with autism is difficult d/t heterogeneity.  Patients were not necessarily at a similar point in disease progression or severity, as an example, ADI scores differed with respect to autistic-like behaviors:  12% no problems, 42& mild, 35% moderate, 11% severe.  Follow-up was complete and all pt’s accounted for: 79 initially evaluated, only 68 available for f/u- 1 death, 2 refused, 6 untraceable, 2 admin error.  It is unlikely that pt’s were treated equally from initial evaluation to f/u, as factors were not controlled.  The major outcome criteria was a score on “overall social outcome” scale created by the investigators; however, this is problematic, as the scale is neither validated, nor standardized. 

Study Design of Prospective Cohort – not really a prospective cohort b/c there is no control group, it is more an observational study

Setting: London academic hospital.  Population/Patients: N = 68, pt’s with autism dx’d since 1950 meeting 4 core criteria, outpts in London, all white, mostly male 61:7, without medical problems related to autism, without major physical or sensory impairments, and without prolonged institutional care.  All dx’d before age 15 with IQ above 50.  Prognostic factors for the study early cognitive ability/IQ level.

Outcomes were not specifically determined a priori, but the study focused on long-term outcomes for pt’s in certain IQ bands in specific areas of functioning- social (work, friendships, independence), cognitive, linguistic and behavioral functioning.   The study also investigated the stability of IQ over time.  Follow-up Period: average time gap between initial assessment and f/u was 22.1 years, ranging from 6.8 to 41.3 yrs 

Main results:
·         Overall social functioning: Composite score of work, friendships, and independence created by investigators.

0 = Very good (0-2)            1 = Good (3-4)                     2 = Fair (5-7)                  3 = Poor (8-10)                    4 = Very Poor (total 11)

o        Work: 0-3, most were engaged in some type of work, but the majority of it was supported/volunteer (21%), arranged by residential facility (22%), or was considered a “general work/leisure program” (40%), only a few had independent jobs (13%), and these were low-paying and found by parental contacts

o        Friendship: 0- 3, most had no friends (56%), a few had at least 1 friend and shared mutual participation in activities (26%), and a small amount had friends arranged only in social groups (15%)

o        Independence: 0-5, most lived with parents or in residential facilities, only 4% lived independently, 6% in supported housing

·         Tables 4a,b: PIQ > 70 showed better fx in all areas that were measured separately, with p values < 0.05

·         “Overall Social Outcomes,” score was compiled:

o        Fig 4: “Good” outcome predictors: nothing alone seemed to be a good predictor

·         PIQ > 100 & VIQ > 70 showed only “Good” and “Fair” outcomes, no “Poor,” but only 4% of pts were in this category, so hard to draw conclusions

·         PIQ > 70 & VIQ > 70 =  5 “Very/Good,” 4 “Fair,” 2 “Poor”

·         PIQ > 70 & VIQ > 50 =  8 “Very/Good,” 7 “Fair,” 5 “poor”

·         Conclusion:  PIQ or VIQ alone were not good predictors of outcome

o        Fig 5: “Poor” outcome predictors:

·         Pt’s with PIQ < 70 & VIQ < 30 ALL were “V/Poor,” and even PIQ <70 & VIQ <50 were mostly “V/Poor.”

·         Conclusion:  if PIQ < 70, very likely to have poor outcome

Conclusions: The results indicate that pt’s with PIQ above 70 have variable overall outcomes, as this group could still have poor outcomes due to autistic behaviors (fixed routines, preoccupations, need for predictability, and anxiety about change), which could essentially overcome the benefits of a relatively high IQ.  More predictive is a poor outcome with PIQ below 70, as very few pt’s in this group did well.  So, a better cutoff of good vs poor outcomes may be 70 instead of 50, as previously believed.  However, other factors may influence outcomes when PIQ is above 70, such as, family support, which played a major role in job acquisition in this study.
The study had multiple limitations.  One concern is the main outcome measure, a scale the investigators created, which is neither standardized or validity.  Weaknesses also include recall bias of parents, who did most of the reporting: i.e. recalling if pt had useful language at age 5, or how many friends pt had as a child.  Another limitation of the study was the IQ testing, as different scales were used in a hierarchical manner to measure Performance IQ:  WISC-R or WPPSI (44%), Merrill Palmer (50%), Leiter (3%), Stanford Binet (1%), and Vineland Adaptive Behavior Scales (1%).   IQ was stable from childhood to adulthood, so contrary to former studies, early testing may be more reliable than previously expected, if one chooses the right tests.

This study may be clinically useful in answering parental questions concerning prognosis in children with autism.

Synopsis:  In this prospective, long-term follow-up study of 68 patients with autism in London, which investigated factors affecting long term outcomes in overall functioning, the only clear prognostic indicator was a poor prognosis associated with a Performance IQ of below 70.  Pt’s who did well more often had PIQs greater than 70; however, outcomes for all pt’s with PIQs above 70 were variable, as other factors likely affected outcomes, such as functional impairment due to autistic-type behaviors.                                  Leigh Fylstra, MD; CAT 3/19/07

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AUTHOR
Maria Almond 

Firearm Violence and Serious Violent Behavior 

Chairman’s Rounds, May 7, 2007 

Citation:, Bingenheimer, J et al. “Firearm Violence Exposure and Serious Violent Behavior.” Science. 2005. 308:1323. 

Clinical Question: Does exposure to firearm violence increase propensity towards serious violent behavior in the future? 

Study Design Type: Cohort 

Relevant Criteria for Appropriate Design:
Setting: 78 neighborhoods in Chicago, IL
Population/Patients: 1517 adolescents ages 12yrs or 15yrs and their caregivers from PHDCN Longitudinal
            Cohort Study—stratified probability samples from 21 socio-economic and racial strata. Used propensity
            scores to group subjects with same identified risk factors for violence exposure, then compared
            outcomes within these groups.
Prognostic factors, Risk factors, and/or Exposures: Exposure to firearm violence (shot or shot at, or seen someone shot or shot at)  in the past 12 months
Outcomes: Perpetration of violence (carried hidden weapon, attacked someone with a weapon, shot someone, shot at someone, been in a gang fight in which someone was hurt or threatened with harm) over previous 12 months
Follow-up Period: 3 interview assessments over 5 years.
 

Question Type: Correlation 

Validity Criteria for Appropriate Question Type:
Population: 1517 adolescents from two age groups—12yrs and 15yrs—enabling 5 year follow-up while population still mostly within adolescent age-range. Based from 78 neighborhoods in urban Chicago. Total 153 pre-exposure covariatesàfrom baseline survey 139 covariates in 10 domains: demographic background, family hx, home environment, temperament, health and physical development, social support, peer influences, vocab/reading proficiency, school-related factors, behavioral patterns, previous exposure to violence. Additionally 14 neighborhood social and economic characteristics via census data and independent survey of prob sample of adult residents.  Because of vast amounts of information available from baseline assessment, able to create groups with similar likelihood of exposure for comparisonàpropensity scores.
Exposure/Outcome Criteria: Given both exposure and outcome data assessed by self-report, may be retrospective reporting bias.  Unable to determine direction or magnitude of such bias. 
Follow-up: over 5 yrs.
1)       Assessment 1: n=1517
àbaseline data
2)       Assessment 2: n=1239 (81.7%)
à exposure data
3)       Assessment 3: n=984 (80.3%)
à outcome data
Concern for attrition bias, esp if differential and associated with one particular group. In subsequent analyses, did note find that attrition strongly related to baseline covariates measured. However,  may have been unmeasured pre-exposure covariate that may have influenced both exposure and outcome uncorrelated with the other 153 outcome measures.

Main Results:
Of the 984 subjects who completed all three assessments, 87% (n=856) were classified as non-perpetrators and 12.4% (n=122) had perpetrated violence with 0.6% (n=6) unclassified.  The investigators then used a series of maximum-likelihood logistic regression models to obtain estimates of association between exposure to firearm violence and perpetration of serious violence. As well, adjustment calculations by regression to exclude confounders such as race/ethnicity, age, sex, family socioeconomic index, neighborhood of residence, previous violence exposure, self-reported violent crime, self- and caregiver-reported delinquency were done. Results showed adjusted OR=2.47 (t966=3.64, P=0.0003).   

Conclusions:
Study examines the effect of an individual’s contact with violence and how even one exposure can slightly more than double the odds (OR=2.47) of perpetuating violence oneself.  Extensive data gathering over a large population and with a broad range collection of confounding factor data allowed researchers to begin to isolate possible causal mechanisms. Because exposure to violence cannot be done ethically within the setting of an RCT, this observational study, following a cohort over time, grouped by likelihood of exposure based on risk-factors, and waiting for both exposure and outcome data allows one to come close to approximating the independent contribution of gun violence itself. Major limitations, of course, include retrospective, self-reporting bias and the possibility that despite the 153 covariates collected, another factor uncorrelated with the other covariates could be influencing the results.  Also possible that there may be a difference between estimated propensity and true propensity. As well, because the study eliminated subjects from the lowest and highest propensity scoring groups, unable to determine whether those who with very low risk towards violence would become violent, simply pointing to the fact that those with some risk for violence if exposed, are more likely to perpetuate violence.  However, generally this cohort study demonstrates the strong impact that exposure to violence has upon adolescents, specifically in determining one’s risk for perpetuating violence.  

Summary: An adolescent in urban Chicago between the ages of 12-17 exposed to firearm violence will have 2.5 times the odds of perpetuating violence within the next 3 years. 

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Author
Brita Klein

A double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled trial of fluoxetine in children and adolescents with depression

Chairman’s Rounds, April 2, 2007

Citation: Emslie G, Rush J, Weinbert W, Kowatch R, Hughes C, et al. A double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled trial of fluoxetine in children and adolescents with depression.  Archives of General Psychiatry 1997;54:1031-37.

Clinical Question: Is fluoxetine effective in treating depression in children and adolescents? 

Background: SSRIs are an effective treatment for depression in adults, but the same results have not been seen in children.  Fluoxetine is the currently the only SSRI that is approved for treatment of depression in children.  I decided to review the evidence for this.

Question Type: Therapy     

Validity Criteria for Therapy Study:  Was follow-up complete? Yes. Were all patients who entered the trial properly accounted for at its conclusion? Yes, all patients who dropped out were accounted for by the method of last observation carried forward. Were patients randomized? Yes-stratified by age and sex. Was randomization concealed? Yes. Were patients analyzed in the groups to which they were randomized? Yes. Were all randomized patient data analyzed? Yes. Were pts in tx and control groups similar? Yes, except for significantly greater incidence comorbid anxiety in the tx group (p=0.4). Were patients/clinicians/assessors aware of group allocation? No. Aside from intervention, were groups treated equally? Yes.

Study Design Type:  Randomized Controlled Trial

            Relevant Criteria for Appropriate Design:

Patients/Setting: Children and adolescents aged 7-17 years who were self-referred or referred by other practitioners to the University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center Mood Disorders Program in Dallas, Texas. Patients were evaluated and had to meet DSM-III-R criteria for nonpsychotic MDD x 3 weeks, have a CDRS-R score >40 at week 3 of evaluation, be in good general health and of normal intelligence. Patients were excluded if they had bipolar I/II disorder, hx of psychotic depression, independent sleep-wake disorder, alcohol or substance abuse within the past year, hx of an eating disorder, hx of previous adequate tx with fluoxetine, and if there was a family hx of bipolar disorder.  Patients who met inclusion/exclusion criteria were enrolled in a placebo run-in week. Patients who responded to placebo during this run-in period were excluded. 96 patients were randomized after the placebo run-in period.

Intervention/Exposure: fluoxetine 20mg po q day vs placebo.

            Duration: 8 weeks.

Outcomes: The Clinical Global Impressions (CGI) scale improvement rating and the Childhood Depression Rating Scale-Revised (CDRS-R) were selected, a priori, as the major outcome measures. They were measured weekly for the duration of the study. Response was defined as a CGI rating of 1 or 2 (very much improved or much improved), and an improvement in the group mean score of the CDRS-R.  Time to response/remission and differences in response based on age/sex were also examined. In addition, the evaluator completed the Children’s Global Assessment Scale and Brief Psychiatric Rating Scale-Children weekly, and the patient/parents completed the Beck Depression Inventory or Children’s Depression Inventory (depending on age) and the Weinberg Screening Affective Scale at the beginning and end of treatment. 

Main Results:

-Drop outs in placebo group: 19 for nonresponse, 1 for adverse effects, and 2 for protocol violation. Drop outs in fluoxetine group: 7 for nonresponse, 4 for ae (mania and rash), and 3 for protocol violation.

-At week 8, 56% (27/48) of patients randomized to the fluoxetine group had a CGI “response”, while only 33% (16/48) of patients in the placebo group had a CGI “response” (using LOCF).  NNT = 5.

-Weekly mean CDRS-R scores were significantly different between groups starting at week 5.  Final mean CDRS scores in tx group = 38.4, and in placebo group = 47.1 (p=0.008). Effect size= ? 

- No significant differences in CGI/CDRS-R between the sexes or children vs. adolescents.

 

Graphic

 Conclusions/Limitations: Depressed children/adolescents who took fluoxetine 20mg po q day appeared to have a significant reduction in symptoms as compared to placebo. However, few reached the cut-off score on the CDRS-R for remission of depression (score of 28) indicating that symptoms were reduced, but patients were still depressed.   This could have been b/c the trial only last 8 weeks.  Significantly more subjects in the fluoxetine group also had comorbid anxiety and improvement in sxs could have been be/c of improvement in anxiety. Additionally, many more patients dropped out of the placebo group b/c of lack of effect, and the LOCF in these patients would have underrepresented any improvement simply from the natural hx of the disorder. Indeed, when using only completers from this 8 week study, the difference between CDRS-R scores was no longer significant (but power reduced).  I would be interested in seeing results from larger, longer studies. In the absence of that, however, I do feel that this study shows that fluoxetine improves depressive sxs in children/adolescents.  I would start fluoxetine in appropriately selected pediatric patients.

Synopsis: This study was a valid 8 week RCT of 96 patients that showed significantly greater improvement in depressive symptoms, as measured by CGI and CDRS-R scores, in depressed children/adolescents who were randomized to fluoxetine 20mg po q day vs. placebo.

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Author:
Sarah Rivelli, MD

Does Sugar Negatively Effect Behavior in Children?

Reference: Wolraich ML, et al . The Effect of Sugar on Behavior or Cognition in Children: a meta-analysis. JAMA 274(20) Nov 1995, 1617-1621.

BACKGROUND: Sugar may negatively affect behavior (the "twinkle defense"). Mechanism: allergy to sugar, or functional reactive hypoglycemia. In the 1970s, cross-sectional studies have shown association between sugar and hyperactivity.

METHODS: MEDLINE and PsychINFO literature searches using: sugar, sucrose and ADHD. 
Design:
Meta-analysis of randomized trials 4 16 articles, 23 studies (conducted 1982-1994). 
Inclusion criteria: subjects consumed known qty sugar, placebo used; subjects, parents and staff blinded; means and SD reported.

Intervention: subjects randomized to sugar vs pbo (aspartame or saccharin). Outcomes: Subjective ratings of observers (parents, teachers, experimenters); counting defined behaviors; measures of skills and activities using standardized measures (neuropsych tests, actometer, continuous performance test, paired associated learning, Figure matching, drawing, motor skills, academic tests); aggression; self-reported mood.

Analysis: Calculation of effect sizes for dependent measures: 

Effect size estimator d=[sugar - pbo]/pooled SD
- Calculated a single effect size for each theoretically meaningful measurement construct. 
-
Multiple effect sizes from a single study within a measurement construct were averaged. (from 532 dependent variables-*14 constructs).
- A weighted mean d for each of the 14 constructs (weighted by inverse variance to reflect sampling error) was calculate.

Homogeneity statistic Q (tests that the sample of effect sizes estimates a single underlying population parameter) calculated.

VALIDITY:
-
Systematic review of randomized trials? Yes.
- Description of how validity of the individual studies was assessed? Yes. 
- Results consistent study to study? Yes.
- Treatment groups similar at baseline? Yes.
- Pts analyzed in groups that they were randomized? Yes. 
- Pt and clinician blinded? Yes.

RESULTS:
-
23 within-subject design studies, sucrose challenge (1.25-5.6g/kg body weight) - except for one that used high-sucrose diet. Placebo = aspartame (13), saccharin (2), both (6). Subjects were either normal (8), had ADHD (5), psych inpts (1), "sugar reactors" (6), Prader-Willi syndrome (1).

- 12/14 of the constructs' distributions were homogenous (Q statistic NS); motor skills and academic test were not due to one outlier study, when this study was excluded, the Q statistic became NS.

-Exploration of effect size distribution by subject type and age group failed to identify any important modifiers of the effect of sugar on the measurements.

- For all constructs, the CI of the effect size included zero.

COMMENTS:
Strengths: Meta-analysis of randomized trials.
Weakness: Trials could have been missed by search strategy or inclusion criteria, a small effect could have been missed.

BOTTOM LINE: Sugar does not affect the behavior or cognitive performance of children. (Why do we feel so sure it does? It may be due to expectancy: Parents believe children adversely affected by sugar --> Affects how parents interact and perceive children.)

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Author:
Ana Carla P. Smith

Influence of supplementary vitamins, minerals and essential fatty acids on the antisocial behavior of young adult prisoners.

Bottom Line: Dietary interventions should be considered when addressing antisocial behaviors. Reference: Gesch CB, Hammond SM, Hampson SE, Eves A, Crowder MJ. Influence of supplementary vitamins, minerals and essential fatty acids on the antisocial behavior of young adult prisoners: randomized, placebo-controlled trial. British Journal of Psychiatry. 2002: 181: 22-28.

Methods:
Design - double-blind, randomized controlled clinical trial
Setting - unnamed prison in England : study was managed from University of Surrey .
Patient population /Inclusion criteria - 231 volunteer prisoners 18 yrs of age or older.
Exclusion criteria - 1. age < 18 yrs.
Interventions - 1. 'Forceval': vitamin/mineral supplement vs a vegetable oil-based placebo w/ an identical opaque bi-colored gelatin shell. 2. 'Efamol Marine': essential fatty acid supplement (providing omega-3 and -6 fatty acids w/o an obvious aftertaste that would have compromised the blind) vs vegetable oil-based placebo of identical color w/ identical clear gelatin shell.
Main outcome measure: 1. Governor reports - prison reports of serious incidents (e.g. violence), and Minor reports - prison reports of minor infractions (e.g. failure to comply w/ requirements) over a specific time period formed the measure of antisocial behavior. 2. Dietary intake: 7-day food diaries (prisoners recorded which of the available food choices they ate & how much. Also recorded 4 of extra items consumed, including spreads, sugar, etc.) Quantity & type of all food consumed was entered into a computer program. Participation varied between 2 weeks & 9 months; average time spent on supplementation = 142 days for both groups.
Analysis - negative binomial (mixed Poisson) regression analysis, to account for individual differences in rates of disciplinary action. differences in baseline rates of offending, and how long a person had been in the trial.
Follow-up /Assessments- compliance monitored daily; food diaries monitored weekly; final analysis of reports done at 9 months.

Validity:
Randomization - yes. Participants entered trial en bloc in September 1996 & underwent psychometric assessment. Their baseline disciplinary records were obtained. A stratified randomization was conducted in each of the 4 main prison wings, employing a random number generator to allocate groups (each wing had active & placebo group, so they were matched in terms of disciplinary incidents & daily events). Participants recruited subsequently over the next 8 months were first grouped by wing, & then randomly allocated using r.n.g.
Blinding - yes. Blister packs contained either all active or all placebo supplements (5 pills total), & were stamped w/ an I 1-digit code during manufacture. Research staff were only provided w/ details of the respective code allocated for each participant. Each day, coded packs were labeled w/ participant's name, cell & prison #. & packs were given each day when prisoners were locked in cells for lunch. Compliance was monitored & logged through officers returning the used packs each day & routine cell searches.
Intention to treat - yes & no - FIT analysis was performed, but not reported as main measure. Authors mention that w/ IIT, outcomes did not differ significantly from those reported in the paper.
Analysis in group assigned -yes. hut.... (see fig. I on pg 26). Of 115 allocated to placebo, 90 were analyzed; of 116 allocated to active. 83 were analyzed.
Groups similar at baseline - yes: there were no statistically significant differences btw active & placebo groups on any of the baseline psychometric scores (see Table 3 on pg 25) testing intelligence, verbal ability, anger, anxiety, malaise & depression. Groups were also equivalent in average rates of disciplinary incidents prior to supplementation. No comment on age. sex. SES. education, weight, BMI. nutritional status, vitamin deficiencies. etc.
Groups treated similarly outside of intervention - yes.

Results:
Outcomes - prisoners who received active capsules committed on average 11.8 infringements per 1000 person-days. a reduction of 26.3% (95%Cl 8.3 -44.3%) compared to placebo (statistically significant at p<0.03) (1ff analysis). There were no statistically significant differences between groups on dietary intake or accuracy of judgment about group allocation (see Table 4 on pg 25). With non-completers removed from analysis. active group showed a reduction in disciplinary incidents from 16 to 10.4. a35.1% reduction (p< 0.001, 95%CI 16.3 - 53.9%). whereas placebo group reduced their rate off offending by 6.7% (p> 0.1. 95%CI -15.1 -28.7%: not significant; negative figures indicate an increased rate of offending). The greatest reduction occurred for the most serious incidents (Governor reports): 37% (p< 0.005, 95%CI 11.6 - 62.4%). Placebo group reduced their Governor reports by a non-significant 10.1% (p >0.1. 95%CI -16.9 - 37.1%). Active group showed a significant reduction in minor reports as well: 33% (p< 0.025, 95%CI 0.9 - 65.7%), whereas the placebo group showed little reduction: 6.5% (p> 0.1, 95%CI -28.5 -41.5%.
Adverse Effects - none

Compliance w/ therapies - mean compliance rate for placebo = 89.83% (95%CI 87.43-92.23%). Mean compliance rate for active grp = 90.67 (95%Cl 88.47-92.87%). Difference in compliance btw groups not statistically significant.

Comments / Application:
Are the likely benefits worth the potential harms & costs? yes.
Strengths: 1. double-blind, randomized controlled trial. 2. large sample size. 3.
Weaknesses: 1. Behavior in institutions may not be generalizable to the general or outpatient population. 2. No measure of pt's nutritional status at baseline vs after intervention: does supplementation only work for those w/ antisocial behavior already consuming poor diets? 3. Biochemical measures not performed.
Next steps for further study of this problem. Repeat study indifferent settings, w/ different age-groups, sexes, etc. Assess nutritional status from blood before & during supplementation. Longer f/u.

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Clinical Question: Does nutrition supplements reduce behavioral misdeeds in schoolchildren?

Reference Schoenthaler SJ and Bier ID The effect of vitamin-mineral supplementation on Juvenile delinquency among American schoolchildren: a randomized, double-blind placebo-controlled trial. The Journal of alternative and complementary medicine V6 pp7-17, 2000

Methods
Design - A stratified randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial with pretest and posttest measures of antisocial behavior on school property.
Setting - Two "working class" , primarily Hispanic elementary schools in the Cartwright District of phoenix, Arizona .
Patient Population - all school students aged 6-12 in classes of 29 teachers who volunteered to distribute the tablets daily.
Inclusion criteria: all students whose parent signed consent.
Exclusion criteria: none
Screening/enrollment methods: All tested for nonverbal intelligence, academic performance, hyperkinesis, and delinquency prior to intervention. A stratified randomized design was based on pre intervention nonverbal intelligence scores.
Intervention / Control: Active tablets grp treated with daily vitamin-mineral supplementation at 50% of the U.S. recommended daily allowance (RDA) for 4 months versus placebo.
Assessments: Violent and nonviolent delinquency as measured by official school disciplinary records.
Analysis - Non-ITT. This classical randomized two-group design, with one pretest and one post-test, required an analysis of covariance with no interaction. Post intervention disciplinary actions as the covariate, and group assignment as the factor. The treatment effect of supplementation, which was adjusted for baseline differences, was the primary variable of interest. Because of the skewing of the rule violation rates per person, the data were normalized using log10 transformations prior to inferential testing. Analysis of covariance allowed for numerous variables to serve as potential covariates: school, teacher's class, grade, age, sex, and student's 10.

VALIDITY
It is a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial
Treatment groups appears to be similar at baseline but not explicitly expressed. Students starting trial are not always accounted for at conclusion
Students were not always analyzed in groups to which they were randomized.
Students and teachers appears to be blinded to treatment. Did not mention in detail about other parties. Groups appears to be treated similarly outside of intervention
Do the study population characteristics describe your patient? Not really.

Results
Of the 468 students randomly assigned to active or placebo tablets, the 80 who were disciplined at least once between September 1s` and May 1s` served as the research sample. During intervention, the 40 children who received active tablets were disciplined, on average, 1 time each, a 47% lower mean rate of antisocial behavior than the 1.875 times each for the 40 children who received placebos (95% confidence interval, 29% to 65%, < 5.020). The children who took active tablets produced lower rates of antisocial behavior in 8 types of recorded infractions: threats/fighting, vandalism, being disrespectful, disorderly conduct, defiance, obscenities, refusal to work or serve, endangering others, and non specified offenses.

CONCLUSIONS: Poor nutritional habits in children that lead to low concentrations of water-soluble vitamins in blood, impair brain function and subsequently cause violence and other serious antisocial behavior. Correction of nutrient intake, either through a well-balanced diet or low-dose vitamin-mineral supplementation, corrects the low concentrations of vitamins in blood, improves brain function and subsequently lowers institutional violence and antisocial behavior by almost half. This paper adds to the literature by enabling previous research to be generalized from older incarcerated subjects with a history of antisocial behavior to a normal population of younger children in an educational setting.

Comments
Strengths It is a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial in a difficult study (dynamic outcome).
Weakness: internal validity appears fair. Poor external validity (generalized). Incomplete presented data, unable to determined the true conclusion. Non ITT, stretching conclusion.
Study in context of other available literature and/or current standard-of care: numerous studies in juvenile correctional institutions, but extended to elementary school population.
How will this study affect your management of the putative patient? Although the conclusion is a stretch, it likely to affect my management of using vitamins due to low risk and other potential benefits.
Next steps for further study of this problem. Contracted therapy - none.

In summary, given these limitations, this study provides a poor quality evidence of a moderate benefit for general school population but a fair quality evidence of a moderate (cohn's d = 0.48) benefit for the "trouble students", and therefore does support clinical use of vitamin-mineral supplementation in the habitual violators in schools.

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Chairman's Rounds 8/23/04 Sarah Parker, MD, MPH
 

Bottom Line: In this randomized trial evaluating the effects of problem-solving skills training (PSST) and parent management training (PMT) (PSST, PMT vs. PSST +PMT) in children (age 7­13) with antisocial behavior,_ the combined treatment lead to a greater proportion with range of "nonclinical" functioning than either alone. NNT was an overall 3 which appears clinically significant; however major limitations include failure to include drop-outs in analyzation, as well as other typical limitations in behavior studies: self-report phenomenon, selection bias, regression to mean, lack of placebo, lack of long-term outcome. Despite these shortcomings the results appear clinically significant.
 

Background: "Antisocial behavior includes aggressive acts, theft, vandalism, fire setting, lying, truancy, and other acts violating social rules and expectations." Parents and family are related to antisocial behavior (stress psychopathology, social isolation, poor parental relations, affect onset, maintenance, escalation). Parent dysfunction and family adversity predict dropping out, degree of therapeutic change, and maintenance of treatment. Of treatments employed PSST and PMT are two of many with promising results for documented change. PSST focuses on individual child and cognitive-behavioral scenarios patients bring to interpersonal situations. PMT focuses on child-rearing practices, parent-child interaction, and contingencies focusing on prosocial behavior at home/school. Both have shown improvement alone.
 

Reference: Kazdin, Alan, Siegel Todd, and Debra Bass. Cognitive Problem-Solving Skills Training and Parent Management Training in the Treatment of Antisocial Behavior in Children. Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology 1992, 60 (5), 733-747.
 

Methods: 97 children (21 girls and 76 boys) referred to treatment at Child Conduct Clinic (see back page for diagram), randomized control trial, in clinic

Measures were self-report:

To examine child antisocial behavior:

Parents-CBCL (118 item 0-2 scale), TAB (30 item, 5 pnt severity, 3 nt duration), PDR, Teacher­CBCL (teacher report form) , 4. IRT, (,SA ; 4 tm I Sjo - s ccvk J Children- CATS (30 item-forced to one of three), SRD (37 items)-children asked directly

To examine parent dysfunction: Parent: PSI (120 item 5 point scale)-scales of own perception of self and child, life, BDI (21 item 3 point scale), SCL-90 (Hopkins Symptom Checklist (90 items on 5-pnt), Family Environment Scale

Then: PEI, CEI, TEI- to evaluate progress and acceptability of treatment Each condition 6-8 months­

PSST: 25 individual administered about 50 minutes once a week, parents actively involved as well to watch, assist, foster problem-solving

PMT: 16 treatment sessions over 6-8 months for 1.5 -2 hour, q wk then qow for last 3**
 

Validity: randomized, not blinded, 7 clinicians (MSW or clinical psychology), followed treatment manuals and trained prior to delivery, ongoing supervision, weekly review, treatment groups were similar at baseline, PATIENTS starting trial were NOT accounted for at conclusion, groups ANOVA analysis not different, study population characteristics do describe those patients who stay and comply with treatment
 

Results: Diff. in drop-out were lower on WISC IQ, did not do family differences

For NNT and TABLE 5 (see back)-best clinical, separate sheet with all tables (lots of data)
 

Comment: In this randomized study, it appears combo treatment is more effective (clinically significant) than either PSST or PMT alone despite shortcomings of validity. What do you think?!  

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Clinically Appraised Topic: Chairman's Rounds
Resident name: Damon Tweedy                                              Date: 8/9/04

Context:
Violent behavior remains a leading cause of death and disability in the United States , particularly among adolescents and young adults. Longitudinal studies have shown continuity in aggressive behavior over time, in that children who have aggressive behavior in the elementary school period are more likely to display antisocial and violent behavior as adolescents and young adults.

Clinical Question:
Does implementation of a violence prevention curriculum lead to a reduction in aggressive behavior and an increase in pro social behavior among elementary school students?

Article:
Grossman DC . Neckerman HJ. Koepsell TD. Liu PY. Asher KN. Beland K. Frey K. Rivara FP. Effectiveness of a violence prevention curriculum among children in elementary school. A randomized controlled trial. JAMA. 277(20):1605-11, 1997 May 28.

Methods:

Design: Randomized controlled trial, with 12 elementary schools representing the units of randomization Setting: 12 elementary schools in King County , Washington

Patient Population:
A.       Population: 790 students from a total of 49 classrooms at the 12 King County elementary schools 
B.       Inclusion Criteria: active parental consent amongst the students in the designated classrooms
C.      Exclusion Criteria: no parental consent obtained
Intervention: Thirty lessons of Second Step: A Violence Prevention Curriculum, each lasting about 35 minutes, were taught once or twice a week between December 1993 and May 1994
Outcome Measures: Aggressive and pro social behavior changes were measured 2 weeks and 6 months after participation in the curriculum by three different methods: 1) parent reports, (2) teacher reports, and (3) professional observation by trained, blinded observers of a random sub-sample of 588 students (12 per class) in the classroom setting and in the playground/cafeteria settings.

Results:
·           Table I shows baseline characteristics. Authors note that a "somewhat" larger proportion of subjects in control schools were black and were identified as receiving special education services, while a higher proportion of subjects in the intervention group were Asians (unclear if these differences are significant).
·           Parent-Reported data did not reveal any significant changes between intervention and controls