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    QUEST - Childhood

 


AUTHOR
David Novosad 

Children’s self reported psychotic symptoms and adult schizophreniform disorder 

Chairman’s Rounds, ? 

Citation: Poulton R, Caspi A, Moffitt TE, et al.  Children’s self reported psychotic symptoms and adult schizophreniform disorder: A 15-year longitudinal study.  Arch Gen Psychiatry 2000; 57: 1053-1058. 

Clinical question: Are there childhood risk factors for the development of adult schizophrenia? 

Study Design Type: Prospective cohort 

Methods:

            Patient population: A birth cohort born between April 1, 1972 and March 31, 1973 in Dunedin, New Zealand.  91% (1037) of births participated at age 3.  Data used from age 11 and age 26 assessments.  789 births had psychiatric interviews at age 11.  972 had psychiatric interviews at age 26.  761 were psychiatrically assessed at both ages.  Those included vs. omitted (assessed at age 26 and not age 11) did not differ significantly in psychiatric diagnosis.  Study members assessed via DISC-C for DSM-III at age 11.  5 questions from schizophrenia section scored from 0-2.  Children placed into 3 groups (no symptoms, weak symptoms, and strong symptoms).  Study members assessed via DIS at age 26.

            Outcomes: Schizophreniform disorder.  Eliminated symptoms with plausible explanations and related to alcohol or drug use or a major depressive episode.  For diagnosis, study members must have 1 hallucination symptoms and 2 other symptoms reported as “yes, definitely” from criterion A of DSM.  For diagnosis, study members must also have evidence of impairment in at least one area of social or occupational functioning (long term unemployment, poor money management skills, not in a relationship, paranoia, social isolation, poor personal grooming.)  These symptoms must occur for at least one month.  Several of these symptoms were determined by informants and observers as well as self-report.

            Analysis: Evaluated relationship with Mantel-Haenszel x2 test and logistic regression equations.  Equations contained dummy variables representing both strong and weak symptom groups.  Control group was children at age 11 with no symptoms.  Results reported with ORs and 95% CIs. 

Validity Criteria: Patient sample was clearly defined.  The 3 age 11 risk groups did not differ by parental SES or on WIS for Children-Revised Full Scale IQ test.  Prevalence of mental disorders in Dunedin sample matched prevalence in US National Comorbidity Survey.  All patients were accounted for and 95% of patients alive at age 26 were assessed.  Outcome criteria were objective and unbiased and explained in a detailed and transparent manner.  Sex, social class origins, and age-11 IQ scores were controlled for in the analysis of the cohort.

Main Results: Weak symptom group was more likely to meet criteria for adult schizophreniform disorder (OR, 5.1; 95% CI, 1.7-18.3).  Strong symptom group was even more likely to meet criteria for diagnosis (OR, 16.4; 95% CI, 3.9-67.8).  Odds ratios were unchanged after controlling for sex, social class origins, and age-11 IQ scores.  See Table 1.  Strong symptom group members were not more likely to have a diagnosis of mania or depressive disorder.  Both weak and strong symptom groups were more likely than no symptom children to develop an anxiety disorder, although less likely than for schizophreniform disorder.  See Table 2.  No children in the cohort had a diagnosis of childhood schizophrenia.  One half of strong symptom group had no psychiatric diagnosis at age 11 and those without psychiatric diagnosis were just as likely to report delusions or hallucinations at age 26.  

Conclusions: This prospective cohort study demonstrates an association between childhood psychotic symptoms and adult schizophreniform disorder.  The strengths of the study included prospective cohort design with all patients accounted for and transparent reporting of methods and results.  Weaknesses included those inherent to the study design.  Other weaknesses are the sample has not yet passed through the entire risk period for psychosis, not all interviews at age 26 were conducted by a psychiatrist, psychotic symptoms were also associated with anxiety disorders, and findings of this study are based on small groups.

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AUTHOR
Doug Burgess 

SSRIs and routine specialist care with and without cognitive behavioral therapy in adolescents 

Chairman’s Rounds, August 13, 2007 

Goodyer I, et al. Selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (SSRIs and routine specialist care with and without cognitive behavioral therapy in adolescents with major depression: randomized controlled trial. BMJ, 2007;335:142

Is the combination of SSRI and CBT superior to SSRI alone in improving the general functioning of adolescents with moderate to severe major depression? 

Depression in adolescence is a serious disorder that is both prevalent and carries relatively high risk for suicide and the development of other psychiatric disorders later in life.  Results from the treatment of adolescent depression study (TADS) indicated that fluoxetine in conjunction with CBT was superior to fluoxetine alone in treating adolescent depression and possibly preventing suicide.  Subsequent studies have failed to reproduce these results raising questions about the study’s validity. 

Therapy Validity Criteria:  Follow up was complete and all patients who entered the trial were accounted for at its completion.  Patients were randomized and the randomization was concealed from the evaluators (although not the physicians).  The groups were similar and all participants were analyzed within the groups they were initially assigned.  The study was not blinded to patients or physicians although assessors were not aware of group allocation.  With the exception of CBT participation, groups were treated equally. 

Randomized Controlled Trial criteria for appropriate design: The trial was funded by NS Health Technology Assessment, University hospitals and a non-profit mental health trust.  Although physicians and participants of the trial were aware of the groups they had been assigned to, evaluators remained blinded.  Patients were followed up at 12 weeks and 28 weeks.  They were chosen from six specialist outpatient psychiatry clinics and referred to 2 major University clinics in England.  In all, 510 patients between the ages of 11 and 17 who scored 7 or higher on the Health of the Nation outcome scales were recruited. (Validated scale that indicates moderate to severe depression). Exclusion criteria included schizophrenia, bipolar disorder, pregnancy, need for immediate admission and previous SSRI+CBT with no effect.  Suicidal ideation was not an exclusion criterion.  All told, 103 patients were randomized to SSRI alone and 105 were randomized to SSRI +CBT.  The Health of the Nation outcome scale was the primary outcome measure.  Secondary outcomes were the participant rated mood and feelings questionnaire, the observer rated revised children’s depression rating scale, the children’s global assessment scale and the clinical global impression improvement scale. 191/211 participants who entered the study remained for the duration. 

Main results: Mean values for the two treatments were similar at corresponding assessments.  For the primary outcome measure (Health of the Nation) the treatment effect measured across follow up points was 0.001 (-1.52 to 1.52, P=0.99).  There was also no evidence of an interaction between baseline severity and treatment for any outcome measure.  At 28 weeks, 57/94 (61%) in the SSRI group and 52/98 (53%) of the SSRI+CBT were much or very much improved.  62% of patients in the SSRI+CBT group reported adverse events while only 59% of the SSRI group reported side effects. 

Conclusions:  This study indicates that in adolescents with moderate to severe major depression, treatment with an SSRI combined with CBT does not offer significant benefit over treatment with SSRI alone.  This conclusion stands in contrast to the conclusion of TADS, which led to the recommendation that children be started on an SSRI only if they also initiate CBT.  While the study attempted to replicate “real world” clinical settings, the degree of follow up SSRI only participants received was more intense than that offered in most clinical settings.  The similar response rates between the two groups could underscore the importance of close follow up in the treatment of depression.  This study can not be used as evidence to support the efficacy of SSRI efficacy as no placebo was utilized for control.         

 

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AUTHOR
Leigh Fylstra 

Adult Outcome for Children With Autism 

Chairman’s Rounds, March 19, 2007 

Citation: Howlin P, Goode S, Hutton J, and Rutter M. 2004. Adult outcome for children with autism. Journal of Child Psychology and Psychiatry 45: 212-229.

Clinical Question:  What factors influence long-term outcomes in individuals with autism with an IQ above 50? 

Background:  studies in pt’s with autism have found inconclusive evidence concerning prognostic factors in long term outcomes, which is a major concern for parents.  Studies show poorest outcomes with IQs below 50, but anyone with IQ below 50 rarely achieves independence.  This study investigates the long-term outcomes in pt’s with autism with IQs greater than 50.

Validity Criteria for Prognostic study
The sample size was sufficiently powered.   Pts were generally representative of clinical practice, except this population was potentially more severely handicapped, as the diagnostic criteria were more strict in 1950s-60s (n =47).  Patients were relatively homogenous with respect to prognostic risk, although they likely differed in parental support and availability of educational programs (as intensive educational programs not available in 50-60s).  The paper itself suggests that studying pt’s with autism is difficult d/t heterogeneity.  Patients were not necessarily at a similar point in disease progression or severity, as an example, ADI scores differed with respect to autistic-like behaviors:  12% no problems, 42& mild, 35% moderate, 11% severe.  Follow-up was complete and all pt’s accounted for: 79 initially evaluated, only 68 available for f/u- 1 death, 2 refused, 6 untraceable, 2 admin error.  It is unlikely that pt’s were treated equally from initial evaluation to f/u, as factors were not controlled.  The major outcome criteria was a score on “overall social outcome” scale created by the investigators; however, this is problematic, as the scale is neither validated, nor standardized. 

Study Design of Prospective Cohort – not really a prospective cohort b/c there is no control group, it is more an observational study

Setting: London academic hospital.  Population/Patients: N = 68, pt’s with autism dx’d since 1950 meeting 4 core criteria, outpts in London, all white, mostly male 61:7, without medical problems related to autism, without major physical or sensory impairments, and without prolonged institutional care.  All dx’d before age 15 with IQ above 50.  Prognostic factors for the study early cognitive ability/IQ level.

Outcomes were not specifically determined a priori, but the study focused on long-term outcomes for pt’s in certain IQ bands in specific areas of functioning- social (work, friendships, independence), cognitive, linguistic and behavioral functioning.   The study also investigated the stability of IQ over time.  Follow-up Period: average time gap between initial assessment and f/u was 22.1 years, ranging from 6.8 to 41.3 yrs 

Main results:
·         Overall social functioning: Composite score of work, friendships, and independence created by investigators.

0 = Very good (0-2)            1 = Good (3-4)                     2 = Fair (5-7)                  3 = Poor (8-10)                    4 = Very Poor (total 11)

o        Work: 0-3, most were engaged in some type of work, but the majority of it was supported/volunteer (21%), arranged by residential facility (22%), or was considered a “general work/leisure program” (40%), only a few had independent jobs (13%), and these were low-paying and found by parental contacts

o        Friendship: 0- 3, most had no friends (56%), a few had at least 1 friend and shared mutual participation in activities (26%), and a small amount had friends arranged only in social groups (15%)

o        Independence: 0-5, most lived with parents or in residential facilities, only 4% lived independently, 6% in supported housing

·         Tables 4a,b: PIQ > 70 showed better fx in all areas that were measured separately, with p values < 0.05

·         “Overall Social Outcomes,” score was compiled:

o        Fig 4: “Good” outcome predictors: nothing alone seemed to be a good predictor

·         PIQ > 100 & VIQ > 70 showed only “Good” and “Fair” outcomes, no “Poor,” but only 4% of pts were in this category, so hard to draw conclusions

·         PIQ > 70 & VIQ > 70 =  5 “Very/Good,” 4 “Fair,” 2 “Poor”

·         PIQ > 70 & VIQ > 50 =  8 “Very/Good,” 7 “Fair,” 5 “poor”

·         Conclusion:  PIQ or VIQ alone were not good predictors of outcome

o        Fig 5: “Poor” outcome predictors:

·         Pt’s with PIQ < 70 & VIQ < 30 ALL were “V/Poor,” and even PIQ <70 & VIQ <50 were mostly “V/Poor.”

·         Conclusion:  if PIQ < 70, very likely to have poor outcome

Conclusions: The results indicate that pt’s with PIQ above 70 have variable overall outcomes, as this group could still have poor outcomes due to autistic behaviors (fixed routines, preoccupations, need for predictability, and anxiety about change), which could essentially overcome the benefits of a relatively high IQ.  More predictive is a poor outcome with PIQ below 70, as very few pt’s in this group did well.  So, a better cutoff of good vs poor outcomes may be 70 instead of 50, as previously believed.  However, other factors may influence outcomes when PIQ is above 70, such as, family support, which played a major role in job acquisition in this study.
The study had multiple limitations.  One concern is the main outcome measure, a scale the investigators created, which is neither standardized or validity.  Weaknesses also include recall bias of parents, who did most of the reporting: i.e. recalling if pt had useful language at age 5, or how many friends pt had as a child.  Another limitation of the study was the IQ testing, as different scales were used in a hierarchical manner to measure Performance IQ:  WISC-R or WPPSI (44%), Merrill Palmer (50%), Leiter (3%), Stanford Binet (1%), and Vineland Adaptive Behavior Scales (1%).   IQ was stable from childhood to adulthood, so contrary to former studies, early testing may be more reliable than previously expected, if one chooses the right tests.

This study may be clinically useful in answering parental questions concerning prognosis in children with autism.

Synopsis:  In this prospective, long-term follow-up study of 68 patients with autism in London, which investigated factors affecting long term outcomes in overall functioning, the only clear prognostic indicator was a poor prognosis associated with a Performance IQ of below 70.  Pt’s who did well more often had PIQs greater than 70; however, outcomes for all pt’s with PIQs above 70 were variable, as other factors likely affected outcomes, such as functional impairment due to autistic-type behaviors.                                  Leigh Fylstra, MD; CAT 3/19/07

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AUTHOR
Maria Almond 

Firearm Violence and Serious Violent Behavior 

Chairman’s Rounds, May 7, 2007 

Citation:, Bingenheimer, J et al. “Firearm Violence Exposure and Serious Violent Behavior.” Science. 2005. 308:1323. 

Clinical Question: Does exposure to firearm violence increase propensity towards serious violent behavior in the future? 

Study Design Type: Cohort 

Relevant Criteria for Appropriate Design:
Setting: 78 neighborhoods in Chicago, IL
Population/Patients: 1517 adolescents ages 12yrs or 15yrs and their caregivers from PHDCN Longitudinal
            Cohort Study—stratified probability samples from 21 socio-economic and racial strata. Used propensity
            scores to group subjects with same identified risk factors for violence exposure, then compared
            outcomes within these groups.
Prognostic factors, Risk factors, and/or Exposures: Exposure to firearm violence (shot or shot at, or seen someone shot or shot at)  in the past 12 months
Outcomes: Perpetration of violence (carried hidden weapon, attacked someone with a weapon, shot someone, shot at someone, been in a gang fight in which someone was hurt or threatened with harm) over previous 12 months
Follow-up Period: 3 interview assessments over 5 years.
 

Question Type: Correlation 

Validity Criteria for Appropriate Question Type:
Population: 1517 adolescents from two age groups—12yrs and 15yrs—enabling 5 year follow-up while population still mostly within adolescent age-range. Based from 78 neighborhoods in urban Chicago. Total 153 pre-exposure covariatesàfrom baseline survey 139 covariates in 10 domains: demographic background, family hx, home environment, temperament, health and physical development, social support, peer influences, vocab/reading proficiency, school-related factors, behavioral patterns, previous exposure to violence. Additionally 14 neighborhood social and economic characteristics via census data and independent survey of prob sample of adult residents.  Because of vast amounts of information available from baseline assessment, able to create groups with similar likelihood of exposure for comparisonàpropensity scores.
Exposure/Outcome Criteria: Given both exposure and outcome data assessed by self-report, may be retrospective reporting bias.  Unable to determine direction or magnitude of such bias. 
Follow-up: over 5 yrs.
1)       Assessment 1: n=1517
àbaseline data
2)       Assessment 2: n=1239 (81.7%)
à exposure data
3)       Assessment 3: n=984 (80.3%)
à outcome data
Concern for attrition bias, esp if differential and associated with one particular group. In subsequent analyses, did note find that attrition strongly related to baseline covariates measured. However,  may have been unmeasured pre-exposure covariate that may have influenced both exposure and outcome uncorrelated with the other 153 outcome measures.

Main Results:
Of the 984 subjects who completed all three assessments, 87% (n=856) were classified as non-perpetrators and 12.4% (n=122) had perpetrated violence with 0.6% (n=6) unclassified.  The investigators then used a series of maximum-likelihood logistic regression models to obtain estimates of association between exposure to firearm violence and perpetration of serious violence. As well, adjustment calculations by regression to exclude confounders such as race/ethnicity, age, sex, family socioeconomic index, neighborhood of residence, previous violence exposure, self-reported violent crime, self- and caregiver-reported delinquency were done. Results showed adjusted OR=2.47 (t966=3.64, P=0.0003).   

Conclusions:
Study examines the effect of an individual’s contact with violence and how even one exposure can slightly more than double the odds (OR=2.47) of perpetuating violence oneself.  Extensive data gathering over a large population and with a broad range collection of confounding factor data allowed researchers to begin to isolate possible causal mechanisms. Because exposure to violence cannot be done ethically within the setting of an RCT, this observational study, following a cohort over time, grouped by likelihood of exposure based on risk-factors, and waiting for both exposure and outcome data allows one to come close to approximating the independent contribution of gun violence itself. Major limitations, of course, include retrospective, self-reporting bias and the possibility that despite the 153 covariates collected, another factor uncorrelated with the other covariates could be influencing the results.  Also possible that there may be a difference between estimated propensity and true propensity. As well, because the study eliminated subjects from the lowest and highest propensity scoring groups, unable to determine whether those who with very low risk towards violence would become violent, simply pointing to the fact that those with some risk for violence if exposed, are more likely to perpetuate violence.  However, generally this cohort study demonstrates the strong impact that exposure to violence has upon adolescents, specifically in determining one’s risk for perpetuating violence.  

Summary: An adolescent in urban Chicago between the ages of 12-17 exposed to firearm violence will have 2.5 times the odds of perpetuating violence within the next 3 years. 

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Author
Brita Klein

A double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled trial of fluoxetine in children and adolescents with depression

Chairman’s Rounds, April 2, 2007

Citation: Emslie G, Rush J, Weinbert W, Kowatch R, Hughes C, et al. A double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled trial of fluoxetine in children and adolescents with depression.  Archives of General Psychiatry 1997;54:1031-37.

Clinical Question: Is fluoxetine effective in treating depression in children and adolescents? 

Background: SSRIs are an effective treatment for depression in adults, but the same results have not been seen in children.  Fluoxetine is the currently the only SSRI that is approved for treatment of depression in children.  I decided to review the evidence for this.

Question Type: Therapy     

Validity Criteria for Therapy Study:  Was follow-up complete? Yes. Were all patients who entered the trial properly accounted for at its conclusion? Yes, all patients who dropped out were accounted for by the method of last observation carried forward. Were patients randomized? Yes-stratified by age and sex. Was randomization concealed? Yes. Were patients analyzed in the groups to which they were randomized? Yes. Were all randomized patient data analyzed? Yes. Were pts in tx and control groups similar? Yes, except for significantly greater incidence comorbid anxiety in the tx group (p=0.4). Were patients/clinicians/assessors aware of group allocation? No. Aside from intervention, were groups treated equally? Yes.

Study Design Type:  Randomized Controlled Trial

            Relevant Criteria for Appropriate Design:

Patients/Setting: Children and adolescents aged 7-17 years who were self-referred or referred by other practitioners to the University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center Mood Disorders Program in Dallas, Texas. Patients were evaluated and had to meet DSM-III-R criteria for nonpsychotic MDD x 3 weeks, have a CDRS-R score >40 at week 3 of evaluation, be in good general health and of normal intelligence. Patients were excluded if they had bipolar I/II disorder, hx of psychotic depression, independent sleep-wake disorder, alcohol or substance abuse within the past year, hx of an eating disorder, hx of previous adequate tx with fluoxetine, and if there was a family hx of bipolar disorder.  Patients who met inclusion/exclusion criteria were enrolled in a placebo run-in week. Patients who responded to placebo during this run-in period were excluded. 96 patients were randomized after the placebo run-in period.

Intervention/Exposure: fluoxetine 20mg po q day vs placebo.

            Duration: 8 weeks.

Outcomes: The Clinical Global Impressions (CGI) scale improvement rating and the Childhood Depression Rating Scale-Revised (CDRS-R) were selected, a priori, as the major outcome measures. They were measured weekly for the duration of the study. Response was defined as a CGI rating of 1 or 2 (very much improved or much improved), and an improvement in the group mean score of the CDRS-R.  Time to response/remission and differences in response based on age/sex were also examined. In addition, the evaluator completed the Children’s Global Assessment Scale and Brief Psychiatric Rating Scale-Children weekly, and the patient/parents completed the Beck Depression Inventory or Children’s Depression Inventory (depending on age) and the Weinberg Screening Affective Scale at the beginning and end of treatment. 

Main Results:

-Drop outs in placebo group: 19 for nonresponse, 1 for adverse effects, and 2 for protocol violation. Drop outs in fluoxetine group: 7 for nonresponse, 4 for ae (mania and rash), and 3 for protocol violation.

-At week 8, 56% (27/48) of patients randomized to the fluoxetine group had a CGI “response”, while only 33% (16/48) of patients in the placebo group had a CGI “response” (using LOCF).  NNT = 5.

-Weekly mean CDRS-R scores were significantly different between groups starting at week 5.  Final mean CDRS scores in tx group = 38.4, and in placebo group = 47.1 (p=0.008). Effect size= ? 

- No significant differences in CGI/CDRS-R between the sexes or children vs. adolescents.

 

Graphic

 Conclusions/Limitations: Depressed children/adolescents who took fluoxetine 20mg po q day appeared to have a significant reduction in symptoms as compared to placebo. However, few reached the cut-off score on the CDRS-R for remission of depression (score of 28) indicating that symptoms were reduced, but patients were still depressed.   This could have been b/c the trial only last 8 weeks.  Significantly more subjects in the fluoxetine group also had comorbid anxiety and improvement in sxs could have been be/c of improvement in anxiety. Additionally, many more patients dropped out of the placebo group b/c of lack of effect, and the LOCF in these patients would have underrepresented any improvement simply from the natural hx of the disorder. Indeed, when using only completers from this 8 week study, the difference between CDRS-R scores was no longer significant (but power reduced).  I would be interested in seeing results from larger, longer studies. In the absence of that, however, I do feel that this study shows that fluoxetine improves depressive sxs in children/adolescents.  I would start fluoxetine in appropriately selected pediatric patients.

Synopsis: This study was a valid 8 week RCT of 96 patients that showed significantly greater improvement in depressive symptoms, as measured by CGI and CDRS-R scores, in depressed children/adolescents who were randomized to fluoxetine 20mg po q day vs. placebo.

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Author:
Sarah Rivelli, MD

Does Sugar Negatively Effect Behavior in Children?

Reference: Wolraich ML, et al . The Effect of Sugar on Behavior or Cognition in Children: a meta-analysis. JAMA 274(20) Nov 1995, 1617-1621.

BACKGROUND: Sugar may negatively affect behavior (the "twinkle defense"). Mechanism: allergy to sugar, or functional reactive hypoglycemia. In the 1970s, cross-sectional studies have shown association between sugar and hyperactivity.

METHODS: MEDLINE and PsychINFO literature searches using: sugar, sucrose and ADHD. 
Design:
Meta-analysis of randomized trials 4 16 articles, 23 studies (conducted 1982-1994). 
Inclusion criteria: subjects consumed known qty sugar, placebo used; subjects, parents and staff blinded; means and SD reported.

Intervention: subjects randomized to sugar vs pbo (aspartame or saccharin). Outcomes: Subjective ratings of observers (parents, teachers, experimenters); counting defined behaviors; measures of skills and activities using standardized measures (neuropsych tests, actometer, continuous performance test, paired associated learning, Figure matching, drawing, motor skills, academic tests); aggression; self-reported mood.

Analysis: Calculation of effect sizes for dependent measures: 

Effect size estimator d=[sugar - pbo]/pooled SD
- Calculated a single effect size for each theoretically meaningful measurement construct. 
-
Multiple effect sizes from a single study within a measurement construct were averaged. (from 532 dependent variables-*14 constructs).
- A weighted mean d for each of the 14 constructs (weighted by inverse variance to reflect sampling error) was calculate.

Homogeneity statistic Q (tests that the sample of effect sizes estimates a single underlying population parameter) calculated.

VALIDITY:
-
Systematic review of randomized trials? Yes.
- Description of how validity of the individual studies was assessed? Yes. 
- Results consistent study to study? Yes.
- Treatment groups similar at baseline? Yes.
- Pts analyzed in groups that they were randomized? Yes. 
- Pt and clinician blinded? Yes.

RESULTS:
-
23 within-subject design studies, sucrose challenge (1.25-5.6g/kg body weight) - except for one that used high-sucrose diet. Placebo = aspartame (13), saccharin (2), both (6). Subjects were either normal (8), had ADHD (5), psych inpts (1), "sugar reactors" (6), Prader-Willi syndrome (1).

- 12/14 of the constructs' distributions were homogenous (Q statistic NS); motor skills and academic test were not due to one outlier study, when this study was excluded, the Q statistic became NS.

-Exploration of effect size distribution by subject type and age group failed to identify any important modifiers of the effect of sugar on the measurements.

- For all constructs, the CI of the effect size included zero.

COMMENTS:
Strengths: Meta-analysis of randomized trials.
Weakness: Trials could have been missed by search strategy or inclusion criteria, a small effect could have been missed.

BOTTOM LINE: Sugar does not affect the behavior or cognitive performance of children. (Why do we feel so sure it does? It may be due to expectancy: Parents believe children adversely affected by sugar --> Affects how parents interact and perceive children.)

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Author:
Ana Carla P. Smith

Influence of supplementary vitamins, minerals and essential fatty acids on the antisocial behavior of young adult prisoners.

Bottom Line: Dietary interventions should be considered when addressing antisocial behaviors. Reference: Gesch CB, Hammond SM, Hampson SE, Eves A, Crowder MJ. Influence of supplementary vitamins, minerals and essential fatty acids on the antisocial behavior of young adult prisoners: randomized, placebo-controlled trial. British Journal of Psychiatry. 2002: 181: 22-28.

Methods:
Design - double-blind, randomized controlled clinical trial
Setting - unnamed prison in England : study was managed from University of Surrey .
Patient population /Inclusion criteria - 231 volunteer prisoners 18 yrs of age or older.
Exclusion criteria - 1. age < 18 yrs.
Interventions - 1. 'Forceval': vitamin/mineral supplement vs a vegetable oil-based placebo w/ an identical opaque bi-colored gelatin shell. 2. 'Efamol Marine': essential fatty acid supplement (providing omega-3 and -6 fatty acids w/o an obvious aftertaste that would have compromised the blind) vs vegetable oil-based placebo of identical color w/ identical clear gelatin shell.
Main outcome measure: 1. Governor reports - prison reports of serious incidents (e.g. violence), and Minor reports - prison reports of minor infractions (e.g. failure to comply w/ requirements) over a specific time period formed the measure of antisocial behavior. 2. Dietary intake: 7-day food diaries (prisoners recorded which of the available food choices they ate & how much. Also recorded 4 of extra items consumed, including spreads, sugar, etc.) Quantity & type of all food consumed was entered into a computer program. Participation varied between 2 weeks & 9 months; average time spent on supplementation = 142 days for both groups.
Analysis - negative binomial (mixed Poisson) regression analysis, to account for individual differences in rates of disciplinary action. differences in baseline rates of offending, and how long a person had been in the trial.
Follow-up /Assessments- compliance monitored daily; food diaries monitored weekly; final analysis of reports done at 9 months.

Validity:
Randomization - yes. Participants entered trial en bloc in September 1996 & underwent psychometric assessment. Their baseline disciplinary records were obtained. A stratified randomization was conducted in each of the 4 main prison wings, employing a random number generator to allocate groups (each wing had active & placebo group, so they were matched in terms of disciplinary incidents & daily events). Participants recruited subsequently over the next 8 months were first grouped by wing, & then randomly allocated using r.n.g.
Blinding - yes. Blister packs contained either all active or all placebo supplements (5 pills total), & were stamped w/ an I 1-digit code during manufacture. Research staff were only provided w/ details of the respective code allocated for each participant. Each day, coded packs were labeled w/ participant's name, cell & prison #. & packs were given each day when prisoners were locked in cells for lunch. Compliance was monitored & logged through officers returning the used packs each day & routine cell searches.
Intention to treat - yes & no - FIT analysis was performed, but not reported as main measure. Authors mention that w/ IIT, outcomes did not differ significantly from those reported in the paper.
Analysis in group assigned -yes. hut.... (see fig. I on pg 26). Of 115 allocated to placebo, 90 were analyzed; of 116 allocated to active. 83 were analyzed.
Groups similar at baseline - yes: there were no statistically significant differences btw active & placebo groups on any of the baseline psychometric scores (see Table 3 on pg 25) testing intelligence, verbal ability, anger, anxiety, malaise & depression. Groups were also equivalent in average rates of disciplinary incidents prior to supplementation. No comment on age. sex. SES. education, weight, BMI. nutritional status, vitamin deficiencies. etc.
Groups treated similarly outside of intervention - yes.

Results:
Outcomes - prisoners who received active capsules committed on average 11.8 infringements per 1000 person-days. a reduction of 26.3% (95%Cl 8.3 -44.3%) compared to placebo (statistically significant at p<0.03) (1ff analysis). There were no statistically significant differences between groups on dietary intake or accuracy of judgment about group allocation (see Table 4 on pg 25). With non-completers removed from analysis. active group showed a reduction in disciplinary incidents from 16 to 10.4. a35.1% reduction (p< 0.001, 95%CI 16.3 - 53.9%). whereas placebo group reduced their rate off offending by 6.7% (p> 0.1. 95%CI -15.1 -28.7%: not significant; negative figures indicate an increased rate of offending). The greatest reduction occurred for the most serious incidents (Governor reports): 37% (p< 0.005, 95%CI 11.6 - 62.4%). Placebo group reduced their Governor reports by a non-significant 10.1% (p >0.1. 95%CI -16.9 - 37.1%). Active group showed a significant reduction in minor reports as well: 33% (p< 0.025, 95%CI 0.9 - 65.7%), whereas the placebo group showed little reduction: 6.5% (p> 0.1, 95%CI -28.5 -41.5%.
Adverse Effects - none

Compliance w/ therapies - mean compliance rate for placebo = 89.83% (95%CI 87.43-92.23%). Mean compliance rate for active grp = 90.67 (95%Cl 88.47-92.87%). Difference in compliance btw groups not statistically significant.

Comments / Application:
Are the likely benefits worth the potential harms & costs? yes.
Strengths: 1. double-blind, randomized controlled trial. 2. large sample size. 3.
Weaknesses: 1. Behavior in institutions may not be generalizable to the general or outpatient population. 2. No measure of pt's nutritional status at baseline vs after intervention: does supplementation only work for those w/ antisocial behavior already consuming poor diets? 3. Biochemical measures not performed.
Next steps for further study of this problem. Repeat study indifferent settings, w/ different age-groups, sexes, etc. Assess nutritional status from blood before & during supplementation. Longer f/u.

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Clinical Question: Does nutrition supplements reduce behavioral misdeeds in schoolchildren?

Reference Schoenthaler SJ and Bier ID The effect of vitamin-mineral supplementation on Juvenile delinquency among American schoolchildren: a randomized, double-blind placebo-controlled trial. The Journal of alternative and complementary medicine V6 pp7-17, 2000

Methods
Design - A stratified randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial with pretest and posttest measures of antisocial behavior on school property.
Setting - Two "working class" , primarily Hispanic elementary schools in the Cartwright District of phoenix, Arizona .
Patient Population - all school students aged 6-12 in classes of 29 teachers who volunteered to distribute the tablets daily.
Inclusion criteria: all students whose parent signed consent.
Exclusion criteria: none
Screening/enrollment methods: All tested for nonverbal intelligence, academic performance, hyperkinesis, and delinquency prior to intervention. A stratified randomized design was based on pre intervention nonverbal intelligence scores.
Intervention / Control: Active tablets grp treated with daily vitamin-mineral supplementation at 50% of the U.S. recommended daily allowance (RDA) for 4 months versus placebo.
Assessments: Violent and nonviolent delinquency as measured by official school disciplinary records.
Analysis - Non-ITT. This classical randomized two-group design, with one pretest and one post-test, required an analysis of covariance with no interaction. Post intervention disciplinary actions as the covariate, and group assignment as the factor. The treatment effect of supplementation, which was adjusted for baseline differences, was the primary variable of interest. Because of the skewing of the rule violation rates per person, the data were normalized using log10 transformations prior to inferential testing. Analysis of covariance allowed for numerous variables to serve as potential covariates: school, teacher's class, grade, age, sex, and student's 10.

VALIDITY
It is a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial
Treatment groups appears to be similar at baseline but not explicitly expressed. Students starting trial are not always accounted for at conclusion
Students were not always analyzed in groups to which they were randomized.
Students and teachers appears to be blinded to treatment. Did not mention in detail about other parties. Groups appears to be treated similarly outside of intervention
Do the study population characteristics describe your patient? Not really.

Results
Of the 468 students randomly assigned to active or placebo tablets, the 80 who were disciplined at least once between September 1s` and May 1s` served as the research sample. During intervention, the 40 children who received active tablets were disciplined, on average, 1 time each, a 47% lower mean rate of antisocial behavior than the 1.875 times each for the 40 children who received placebos (95% confidence interval, 29% to 65%, < 5.020). The children who took active tablets produced lower rates of antisocial behavior in 8 types of recorded infractions: threats/fighting, vandalism, being disrespectful, disorderly conduct, defiance, obscenities, refusal to work or serve, endangering others, and non specified offenses.

CONCLUSIONS: Poor nutritional habits in children that lead to low concentrations of water-soluble vitamins in blood, impair brain function and subsequently cause violence and other serious antisocial behavior. Correction of nutrient intake, either through a well-balanced diet or low-dose vitamin-mineral supplementation, corrects the low concentrations of vitamins in blood, improves brain function and subsequently lowers institutional violence and antisocial behavior by almost half. This paper adds to the literature by enabling previous research to be generalized from older incarcerated subjects with a history of antisocial behavior to a normal population of younger children in an educational setting.

Comments
Strengths It is a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial in a difficult study (dynamic outcome).
Weakness: internal validity appears fair. Poor external validity (generalized). Incomplete presented data, unable to determined the true conclusion. Non ITT, stretching conclusion.
Study in context of other available literature and/or current standard-of care: numerous studies in juvenile correctional institutions, but extended to elementary school population.
How will this study affect your management of the putative patient? Although the conclusion is a stretch, it likely to affect my management of using vitamins due to low risk and other potential benefits.
Next steps for further study of this problem. Contracted therapy - none.

In summary, given these limitations, this study provides a poor quality evidence of a moderate benefit for general school population but a fair quality evidence of a moderate (cohn's d = 0.48) benefit for the "trouble students", and therefore does support clinical use of vitamin-mineral supplementation in the habitual violators in schools.

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Chairman's Rounds 8/23/04 Sarah Parker, MD, MPH
 

Bottom Line: In this randomized trial evaluating the effects of problem-solving skills training (PSST) and parent management training (PMT) (PSST, PMT vs. PSST +PMT) in children (age 7­13) with antisocial behavior,_ the combined treatment lead to a greater proportion with range of "nonclinical" functioning than either alone. NNT was an overall 3 which appears clinically significant; however major limitations include failure to include drop-outs in analyzation, as well as other typical limitations in behavior studies: self-report phenomenon, selection bias, regression to mean, lack of placebo, lack of long-term outcome. Despite these shortcomings the results appear clinically significant.
 

Background: "Antisocial behavior includes aggressive acts, theft, vandalism, fire setting, lying, truancy, and other acts violating social rules and expectations." Parents and family are related to antisocial behavior (stress psychopathology, social isolation, poor parental relations, affect onset, maintenance, escalation). Parent dysfunction and family adversity predict dropping out, degree of therapeutic change, and maintenance of treatment. Of treatments employed PSST and PMT are two of many with promising results for documented change. PSST focuses on individual child and cognitive-behavioral scenarios patients bring to interpersonal situations. PMT focuses on child-rearing practices, parent-child interaction, and contingencies focusing on prosocial behavior at home/school. Both have shown improvement alone.
 

Reference: Kazdin, Alan, Siegel Todd, and Debra Bass. Cognitive Problem-Solving Skills Training and Parent Management Training in the Treatment of Antisocial Behavior in Children. Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology 1992, 60 (5), 733-747.
 

Methods: 97 children (21 girls and 76 boys) referred to treatment at Child Conduct Clinic (see back page for diagram), randomized control trial, in clinic

Measures were self-report:

To examine child antisocial behavior:

Parents-CBCL (118 item 0-2 scale), TAB (30 item, 5 pnt severity, 3 nt duration), PDR, Teacher­CBCL (teacher report form) , 4. IRT, (,SA ; 4 tm I Sjo - s ccvk J Children- CATS (30 item-forced to one of three), SRD (37 items)-children asked directly

To examine parent dysfunction: Parent: PSI (120 item 5 point scale)-scales of own perception of self and child, life, BDI (21 item 3 point scale), SCL-90 (Hopkins Symptom Checklist (90 items on 5-pnt), Family Environment Scale

Then: PEI, CEI, TEI- to evaluate progress and acceptability of treatment Each condition 6-8 months­

PSST: 25 individual administered about 50 minutes once a week, parents actively involved as well to watch, assist, foster problem-solving

PMT: 16 treatment sessions over 6-8 months for 1.5 -2 hour, q wk then qow for last 3**
 

Validity: randomized, not blinded, 7 clinicians (MSW or clinical psychology), followed treatment manuals and trained prior to delivery, ongoing supervision, weekly review, treatment groups were similar at baseline, PATIENTS starting trial were NOT accounted for at conclusion, groups ANOVA analysis not different, study population characteristics do describe those patients who stay and comply with treatment
 

Results: Diff. in drop-out were lower on WISC IQ, did not do family differences

For NNT and TABLE 5 (see back)-best clinical, separate sheet with all tables (lots of data)
 

Comment: In this randomized study, it appears combo treatment is more effective (clinically significant) than either PSST or PMT alone despite shortcomings of validity. What do you think?!  

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Clinically Appraised Topic: Chairman's Rounds
Resident name: Damon Tweedy                                              Date: 8/9/04

Context:
Violent behavior remains a leading cause of death and disability in the United States , particularly among adolescents and young adults. Longitudinal studies have shown continuity in aggressive behavior over time, in that children who have aggressive behavior in the elementary school period are more likely to display antisocial and violent behavior as adolescents and young adults.

Clinical Question:
Does implementation of a violence prevention curriculum lead to a reduction in aggressive behavior and an increase in pro social behavior among elementary school students?

Article:
Grossman DC . Neckerman HJ. Koepsell TD. Liu PY. Asher KN. Beland K. Frey K. Rivara FP. Effectiveness of a violence prevention curriculum among children in elementary school. A randomized controlled trial. JAMA. 277(20):1605-11, 1997 May 28.

Methods:

Design: Randomized controlled trial, with 12 elementary schools representing the units of randomization Setting: 12 elementary schools in King County , Washington

Patient Population:
A.       Population: 790 students from a total of 49 classrooms at the 12 King County elementary schools 
B.       Inclusion Criteria: active parental consent amongst the students in the designated classrooms
C.      Exclusion Criteria: no parental consent obtained
Intervention: Thirty lessons of Second Step: A Violence Prevention Curriculum, each lasting about 35 minutes, were taught once or twice a week between December 1993 and May 1994
Outcome Measures: Aggressive and pro social behavior changes were measured 2 weeks and 6 months after participation in the curriculum by three different methods: 1) parent reports, (2) teacher reports, and (3) professional observation by trained, blinded observers of a random sub-sample of 588 students (12 per class) in the classroom setting and in the playground/cafeteria settings.

Results:
·           Table I shows baseline characteristics. Authors note that a "somewhat" larger proportion of subjects in control schools were black and were identified as receiving special education services, while a higher proportion of subjects in the intervention group were Asians (unclear if these differences are significant).
·           Parent-Reported data did not reveal any significant changes between intervention and controls
·           Teacher-Reported data did not reveal any significant changes between intervention and controls
·           Professional Observation-Reported data revealed an overall decrease 2 weeks after the curriculum in physical aggression (P=.03) and an increase in neutral/pro social behavior (P=.04) in the intervention group compared to controls. These effects were not statistically significant at 6 months.

Bottom Line:
The Second Step curriculum results in a modest observed decrease in physically aggressive behavior and an increase in neutral/pro social behavior at 2 weeks, but this effect is attenuated at 6 months.
Comments:
Strengths: Randomized design at school level minimized possibility that control classrooms and teachers might be exposed to the curriculum
Weaknesses:
·           Approximately 30% of eligible students (n =310) did not participate in study; these students may differ significantly from those students that did participate
·           Behavior difference only noted in professional observation group
·           Small amount of time students observed by professionals (45-60 minutes) may not be representative of the student's typical or overall behavior
·           Table I - higher proportion of African Americans in control schools, high proportion of special education students in control schools, higher proportion of Asian students in intervention school - what significance might this have?
·          Unclear if King County , Washington is representative of high-risk school districts where students most likely to become violent adolescents and young adults.
Future Study:
To examine and compare the cost-effectiveness of a wide range of violence prevention interventions.

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Long Term Effects of  Nurse Home Visitation on Children's Criminal and Antisocial Behavior
Reference: David Olds, PhD; Charles R. Henderson, Jr; Robert Cole, PhD; John Eckenrode, PhD, Harriet Kitzman, RN, PhD; Dennis Luckey, PhD; Lisa Pettitt, PhD; Kimberly Sidora, MPH; Pamela Morris; Jane Powers PhD JAMA, October 14,1998- Vol 280, No. 14 

Chairman's Rounds August 9, 2004                               
Michael Washo

Context:
- 19% of all arrests and 19% of all violent crimes were committed by juveniles. Juvenile Violent Crime Index 60% higher in 1996 than 1987.
- Two types of anti-social behavior a) early onset (more serious-prior to puberty), and b) less serious anti-social behavior that emerges after puberty (adolescent onset).
-
 Early onset antisocial behavior associated with 1) subtle neurological impairment (language impairment, ADHD), 2) harsh, punitive, and neglectful parenting, and 3)
  family contexts characterized by substance abuse and criminal behavior.
Objective:
To examine the long-term effects of a program of prenatal and early childhood home visitation by nurses on children's criminal/ antisocial behavior.
Overview:
Design- 15 year follow up of a randomized control trial
Setting- Semirural community in
New York
Participants-400 pregnant women with no previous live births enrolled/ 315 adolescent offspring participated in follow up study when they were 15 years old
Population Characteristics- 280 (89%) of mothers were white, 195 (62%) of mothers were unmarried, (48%) of mothers were <19 years old, 186 (59%) of mothers were from households of low SES
Interventions:
Group1: Sensory and developmental screening at 12 and 24 months (n=94)
Group2: Screening services plus taxi vouchers for prenatal and well child care through child's second birthday (n= 90)
Group 3: Everything from group 2 plus a home nurse who visited home during pregnancy. Average of 9 visits during pregnancy. (n= 100)
Group 4-: Everything from group 3 plus visits from home nurse through child's second birthday. Average of 23 visits after birth. (n=116)
Methods:
Program Plan:
Nurses stressed three aspects: 1)Positive health related behaviors for mother, 2)Competent care of their children, and 3)maternal personal development (family planning, educational achievement, and participation in the workforce)
15 year Follow Up:
Consisted of 1) Interviews with adolescents, biological mothers, and custodial parents if biological mother no longer had custody 2)Archived school data such as suspensions (long and short term), 3)"Acting Out" scales competed by adolescents current Mathematics and English teachers, and 4) for the 116 adolescents who had lived in Chemung County their entire life, their records were reviewed by the Chemung Probation Dept and Family Court to summarize arrests and PINS records
Statistical Models:
Analyzed with Intention to Treat approach using Poisson log-linear models and a 3x2x2x2 factorial structure with 6 covariates (Table 2).
Outcomes:
Children's self reports of running away, arrests, convictions, being sentenced to youth correction facilities, initiation of sexual intercourse, number of sex partners, and use of illegal substances; Teacher's reports of children's disruptive behavior in class; school records of suspensions; and parent's reports of the children's arrests and behavioral problems related to the use of drugs and alcohol.
Validity Criteria:
1. Randomization- YES                3. Similar Baseline Characteristics- YES (See Table 2)      5. Equal Treatment of Groups- YES 2. Intention to Treat- YES 4. Blinding- NO/YES (No for treatment/ control groups but yes for data collectors) 6. Complete to Follow-Up- 85%
Results:
Encounters with Justice System:
(table 3)
Women in group 4 and who were unmarried and from low SES households had adolescents who reported fewer instances of running away (0.24 vs.60; P--.003), fewer arrests (.20 vs .45; P=.03), and fewer convictions and violations of parole (0.09 vs 0.47; P<.001) than their respective counterparts in groups 1&2
School Suspension, Behavior Problems, and Substance Use: (table 4)
- Women in group 4 who were unmarried and from low SES households had adolescents who reported fewer lifetime sexual partners (0..92 vs 2.48; P=.003), fewer
cigarettes smoked per day (1.50 vs 2.50; P=.10), and fewer days having consumed alcohol in the past 6 months (1.09 vs 2.49; P=.03)
- Parents of nurse visited children reported less behavioral problems related to alcohol and other drugs (0.15 vs 0.34 P=.08).
- No program effects on teacher reports of the adolescent's acting out in school, short or long term suspensions, initiation of sexual intercourse, or the children's
report of major delinquent acts, or minor anti-social acts.
Comments:
Prenatal phase of program reduced fetal exposure to tobacco, improved the qualities of women's prenatal diets, reduced rates of pyleonephritis, and improved levels of informal social support.
Prenatal exposure to tobacco is a risk factor for early behavioral dysregulation, problems with attention, and later crime and delinquency.
Prenatal home visitation (group 3) was as effective as pre and postnatal home visitation (group 4) in reducing criminal behavior in unmarried, low SES families. (Running away, arrests, and convictions/ parole violations). This occurred even though these children's mothers showed almost none of the postnatal benefits observed for those visited during pregnancy and infancy (such as reduced welfare dependence, reduced substance abuse, reduced criminal behavior, and reduced child abuse and neglect)- Reason for this is subject of future study
Significance in decreased alcohol use and number of sexual partners:
a) Alcohol use before the age of 15 multiplies the risk of alcoholism in adult hood, and b) multiple sexual partners increases risk for STDs including HIV
Limitations:
Participants not blinded to group they were assigned to,
Arrests and conviction data were based primarily on adolescent's and parents' reports and may be subject to treatment related subject-bias
Bottom Line:
Prenatal/ postnatal care can have positive long-term effects on children's anti-social behavior

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Prescribing Antidepressants for Children and Adolescents

A COMPLEX SITUATION UNFOLDS

January 2002
The Food and Drug Administration approves Prozac (fluoxetine) to treat children with depression. Meanwhile, similar SSRIs are prescribed off-label for children.
December 2003 Great Britain warns its physicians against prescribing any SSRI antidepressant drug except Prozac for depressed children, citing harmful side effects including suicidal thoughts.
February  2004. FDA advisory panels meet to review data on the use of SSRI antidepressants in children. They recommended further study but advise the agency to include stronger cautions and warnings on drug labels.
March 2004 The FDA issues a public health advisory on 10 antidepressants and asks manufacturers to change the labels to incorporate stronger warnings about the need to monitor patients for the worsening of depression and emergence of suicidal thinking.
June 2004 New York State Attorney General Eliot Spitzer sues GlaxoSmithKline, accusing the pharmaceutical company of concealing trial results that would have alerted physicians that the antidepressant Paxil (paroxetine), could be harmful to children and adolescents.
June 2004 The AMA calls upon Health and Human Services to establish a centralized clinical trials registry to include trials conducted by pharmaceutical companies as well as those supported by federal funds.
August 2004 GlaxoSmithKline agrees to post online summaries of all of its clinical trials and pay $2.5 million to settle the lawsuit with New York State .
 September  2004 The House Energy and Commerce subcommittee on oversight begins hearings on antidepressants and children and decisions by the FDA and drug firms not to disclose some reports and studies.
 September  2004 FDA advisory panels meet to review trial results, including some information not available in February, and hear new testimony. They recommend that "black box" warnings be placed on all antidepressants urging caution when they are used for children and teens.
September  2004  The FDA says it "generally supports" the advisory panel recommendations and is working to adopt new labeling to "enhance" the warnings associated with the use of antidepressants and "bolster" information provided to patients.

Distinguishing between Efficacy/Treatment and Harm events  

·         Harm events usually have a lower base rate than efficacy, so many need larger n to determine effect with potentially rare adverse events

·         Usually makes establishing causation easier in treatment studies

·         Conservative (almost “worst case: scenario) analysis of statistics (e.g., we round up for NNT & down for NNH, we pay attention to pooled significant data & subgroup analyses for harm but not efficacy) out of ethical & practical necessity

·         Type I vs. Type II errors can be viewed differently for each

Validity of trials

·         Most were large, randomized, double-blind, placebo, flexible-dose, multi-center controlled studies using ITT (via LOCF)

·         More often than not: washout or single-blind placebo run-in periods 1-2 weeks

·         Length of trials usually 8-12 weeks, with secondary reports of continuation phase follow-up data

·         Variety of screening/diagnostic techniques & scales

·        Usual strict exclusion criteria for large efficacy trials, may not always be directly applicable to our patients

·        "Serious suicidal risk" often part of exclusion criteria

·        Methods were at times an extension of adult methodology/scales to children & adolescents

·        Variety of outcome measures, both primary and secondary, almost always set a priori

·        Also a variety of reporting styles of AEs

·         Children vs. Adolescents - may respond differently to treatment

·         Individual trials designed to prove efficacy, which may make them ill-suited to study harmful events. Each company usually paired trials hoping to get 2 positive trials for an indication

·         Remember, SSRIs & SNRls are clinically used to target more than just depression, and this review does not cover bupropion, escitalopram or flovoxamine

Some lingering questions

·         Does it all sense, biologically, clinically & otherwise?

·         Is fluoxetine really different? If so, how?

·         Do pharmacokinetics & dynamics matter in evaluating this data?

·         How does the TADS study relate in fitting in CBT & psychotherapy to alter the risk/benefit equations?

·         Some open-label safety studies - where do these fit in?

·        How do you explain the high placebo response rates in these studies?

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Susanna Quasem
Chairman’s Rounds 5 16 05

Clinical Question: Does an enriched, educational environment, with emphasis on good nutrition, for young children affect how likely they are to grow up with schizotypal personality disorder or antisocial behaviors?

Reference:
Raine A, Mellingen K et al, Effects of environmental enrichment at ages 3-5 years on schizotypal personality and antisocial behavior at ages 17 and 23 years, American Journal of Psychiatry, September 2003, 160:1627-1635. 

Methods
Design –randomized controlled trial  
Setting – took place on island of Mauritius (in Indian Ocean ), some children were randomized to care in specially designed nursery schools (with a designed “enrichment” curriculum) vs. usual nursery school conditions/care.
Patient Population –all children in 2 towns were recruited at age 3 (1795 children).  Using stratified random sampling, 100 children were selected to enter the enrichment program.  The remaining children experienced the normal community (control) condition.  Control subjects (for whom there were follow-up data) were then selected from the control group to match the enrichment group (355 children).  Children were matched on ten variables (ethnicity, autonomic reactivity, parental social class, social adversity, mother’s age at birth).
Intervention / Control: 100 children in special enrichment nursery school program and the remainder in the usual nursery school model
Blinding: not mentioned (although parents, subjects could not be blinded, unsure if raters were blinded)
Analysis – did not seem to be an intention to treat model, only data that was provided was measured
Outcomes –At age 3-5, children were measured on cognitive ability, nutritional status, temperament, mother’s age at birth, father’s occupation, social adversity. At age 17, the two groups were given a questionnaire to assess for schizotypal personality characteristics, and a Revised Behavior Problem Checklist was done. At age 23, another questionnaire for schizotypal characteristics was given, and rates of criminal offenses were assessed (both by self report and by examining court records).  A secondary outcome was the effect of nutritional status on the primary outcomes.
Follow-up – Children were followed until age 23, but not all completed the study. Of the original total 455 children (100 in enrichment group, 355 in control group), only 438 (83 from enrichment group) gave complete behavior problem information and only 339 participants (74 from enrichment group) did schizotypal questionnaire at the age of 17. At the ages of 23-26, only 359 participants (75 from enrichment group) completed schizotypal questionnaire and 438 (83 from enrichment group) had complete data on criminal activity from court records, with 360 (72 from enrichment group) having complete data on self-reported crime. They state that all compared groups were not significantly different in age, ethnicity, or gender between groups or as compared to the general population. 

Validity
Randomized? Randomization list concealed? The 100 children selected for the enrichment group were selected randomly from the larger population using random-number tables. Unsure if list concealed.
Treatment groups similar at baseline? Per Table 1, groups were similar at baseline because control group was chosen to match the 100 children chosen for the special nursery school.
Patients starting trial accounted for at conclusion? Not all, ~17 children were totally lost to follow-up from enrichment group and ~11 more gave incomplete data; ~10 children were totally lost to follow-up from control group with ~80 more providing incomplete data.
Patients analyzed in groups to which they were randomized? yes
Patients and clinicians blinded to treatment? Not mentioned (although not likely given design)
Groups treated similarly outside of intervention? Yes
Do the study population characteristics describe your patient? Currently not treating children, but the control group likely represents similar child population here in U.S

Results:

Age 17:

Enrichment group

Control Group

Effect Size

Schizotypal questionnaire

3.13

3.6

0.34 (0.02-0.53)

Psychotic behavior

0.98

1.44

0.25 (0.01-0.49)

Conduct disorder

5.77

8.01

0.3 (0.06-0.54)

 

Age 23:

Enrichment group

Control Group

Effect Size

RRR

ARR

NNT

Schizotypal questionnaire

23.68

24.01

0.02 (-0.28-0.23)

 

 

 

Self-reported criminal acts

23.6%

36.1%

0.26

0.35 (0.05-0.55)

0.125 (0.0037-0.24)

8 (4-270)

Court Record criminal acts

3.6%

9.9%

0.22

0.64 (0.15-0.84)

0.063 (-0.004-0.13)

16 (8-infinity)

 

 

Malnourished from Enrichment Group

Malnourished from Control Group

Effect size

Cognitive Disorganization

~2.6

~4.2

0.71

Conduct Disorder

~4.4

~9.5

0.63

Motor Excess

~2.3

~4

0.61

Total Schizotypy

~18

~24

0.42

Interpersonal Deficits

~8

~12

0.56

Compliance with Therapies: unsure if all children completed the two year enrichment course
Adverse Effects: none from treatment

Comments
Strengths and Weaknesses of Study (internal and external validity): Weaknesses: not intention to treat (although on schizotypal measures, both groups were missing about the same percentage of participants, so should even out). On behavioral studies, the study group (enrichment group) was missing data on a much larger percentage of patients than the control group, which would bias it towards a more favorable outcome possibly.  Inability to tell which intervention (exercise, nutrition, or education) accounted for later beneficial effects, but seems those that were malnourished at the beginning benefited significantly. Unclear if raters of questionnaires, etc were blinded to pt’s status in the study. Only measurement of pt’s schizotypal status was by self-report questionnaire. Able to extrapolate results from a developing country to US? Strengths: relatively long follow-up, relatively good numbers of pts, relatively well matched cohorts. Good they studied nutritional status.

Study in context of other available literature and/or current standard-of-care: widely accepted that nutrition affects brain function and is considered important, also widely accepted that the most enriched envt (educational, physical exercise) for children possible yields the best results
How will this study affect your management of the putative patient? Might ask about development status more often

Next steps for further study of this problem: study brain imaging, blood tests to see what differences in malnourished children make them more likely to develop psychopathology. Studying children at different age ranges to determine the most critical age when nutrition may be most important in affecting future psychopathology. Continue to follow for development of schizophrenia. Repeat tests with longer enrichment period, or with later booster enrichment periods, and see if changes in effect sizes occur.

Bottom Line: Early environmental enrichment is associated with small to moderate effect on lowering levels of antisocial behavior and schizotypal personality in adulthood, and benefits are greatest for children with poor nutrition.

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Author:  Maia S. Robison

Chairman's Rounds–   3/6/06

Efficacy of cognitive behavior therapy as a treatment for anxiety disorders of childhood and adolescence

Clinical Question:
What is the efficacy of cognitive behavior therapy as a treatment for anxiety disorders of childhood and adolescence?

 Reference:  Cartwright-Hatton et al.  Systematic Review of the Efficacy of Cognitive Behaviour Therapies for Childhood and Adolescent Anxiety Disorders.  British Journal of Clinical Psychology 2004; 43: pp. 421-236.

 Background:  Anxiety during childhood and adolescence is often unremitting into adulthood, and is associated with other serious conditions, such as depression, and substance misuse.  In light of these concerns, recent years have seen an increase in research into the treatment of anxiety disorders in children and adolescents.  The published studies, though all reporting positive results for CBT, have varied in reported effects, and their size and complexity. 

 Objective:  To review the efficacy of CBT as a treatment for anxiety disorders of childhood and adolescence, and to examine the methods used in previous studies.

 Methods:

Study sources -  Electronic databases including Cochrane Controlled Trials Register, Current Controlled Trials, Medline, Embase, Psychinfo, Cinahl, NHS Economic Evaluation Database, National Technical Information Service, ISI Web of Science.  Reference lists of recent trials and reviews were examined.  Select Journals from 1/1990 to 8/2003 were hand searched (specific journal titles on p423).

Types of studies included - RCT

Inclusion criteria - <19y/o, child and adolescent anxiety disorder, no treatment control group, utilization of formal diagnosis as outcome variable, RCT.

Exclusion criteria -  Trials exclusively treating OCD, PTSD, simple phobia; trials not specifically treating anxiety disorders unless it was clear that the target d/o of all participants were anxiety-based; trials that treated both diagnosed and undiagnosed (eg subclinical) cases of anxiety; trials relying on self-report measures as outcomes.

Patient population -  6-18 year old children and adolescents with anxiety disorders.

Description of therapy -  CBT

Studies screened vs. accepted – Search identified 22 RCT in which CBT had been employed to treat young people with anxiety disorders, and of these, 12 were excluded.  4 were excluded because of there not being a formal diagnosis of an anxiety d/o.  6 were excluded because of there not being an appropriate inactive control group.  Of the 10 trials included, 4 were conducted by one research group, and 3 by another research group (“All data ‘appeared’ to be derived from separate samples (final study list on Appendix A).”

Data analysis – For each study, the OR of remission after treatment was estimated.  The pooled OR and CI were calculated using the log odds procedure.  ITT was used.  Where studies included more than one type of CBT (eg. Group and individual), these were pooled to give an overall effect for CBT.  A test for heterogeneity was carried out, a random effect estimate of the pooled OR was presented, the relationship between study size and effect size was also examined using weight least square regression.

Outcomes – The main outcome assessment was the number of cases who were diagnosis-free at the post treatment assessment. 

Validity:

Focused clinical question? – Yes.

Inclusion criteria appropriate? – No. 

Relevant studies omitted? – No.  For example, this review didn’t attempt to evaluate the effectiveness of CBT in comparison to other available treatments.

Studies appraised for validity? –Yes.  Diagnosis had to be formerly met in all included RCT.  The search for relevant studies is detailed.  Each study was graded to a standard.  Each trial was rated independently (inter-rater reliability r=0.81).  When raters had discrepancies, a final score was assigned by consensus.  

Assessments of studies reproducible? – Yes, reproducible using same grading system.

Homogeneity among study results? –  Test of heterogeneity was carried out , and while p=0.059 shows homogeneity, there was some heterogeneity in the studies. 

 Results:

1)   Table 1:

--5 of 10 randomized cases had non-significant findings (odds ratios crossing 1).

--3 of 5 the remaining randomized cases with significant findings  (Flannery’s, Kendall 1994, Spence 2000) had very large confidence intervals, and 1 of these (Flannery’s) nearly crosses 1. 

--This leaves 2 RCTs with significant findings and tighter confidence intervals.  Hayward et al’s nearly crosses 1 [OR 6.31, 95% CI 1.1-35].  The Barrett et al. study (1996) reports; the odds of recovery (diagnosis-remission) in children with anxiety randomized to receive CBT was 4.19 (95% CI 1.6-11.2) the odds of recovery in children with anxiety randomized to the waiting list control.

--Pooled OR for the 10 RCT was 3.27, 95% CI=1.9-5.6.

--Children randomized to receive CBT had a 225/398 = 56.5% chance of remission of their anxiety. Children who were randomized to control groups had a 73/210 = 34.8% chance of remission.

2)  NNT reported as 4 (inflated).  Using our ARR (ARR=0.565-0.348=0.217) and taking 1/ARR, 5 children with anxiety must receive CBT to prevent one additional unremitted anxiety.  In other words, 5 children with anxiety disorders would need to be treated with CBT in order for one additional case to remit.

3)  Figure 1: Test of heterogeneity showed  x2(9) = 16.4, p=0.059.  There was evidence of reduced effect size for larger studies (Figure illustrates the OR of recovery in relation to study size).

 Strengths:

The article re-evaluated the hypotheses and methods used in previous works.  Quantitative syntheses allowed for NNT to be estimated. 

 Weaknesses:

n       Most of the trials were efficacy trials and not effectiveness trials. 

n       There were methodological wknesses in the trials studied regarding randomization methods and whether ITT analysis was used.

n       Most included studies were not well-powered studies. 

n       Although this is a systematic review about anxiety, core patients are missing.  They exclude critical anxiety spectrum diagnosis like PTSD, OCD, phobia so that there’s lack of generalizability.

n       The paper excluded studies with active controls so non-specific variables could account for why CBT seemed to do better. 

n       Remission is not clearly defined (“diagnosis-free”) so we don’t have a clear end point in mind, and the paper also doesn’t tell us what diagnostic criteria they used to consider a diagnosis an “Official anxiety d/o.”

n       There was non-rigorous vocabulary/lack of systematic use of language in this paper.  For instance, we don’t know whether followed up cases were ‘completer analysis’, and we are left to assume randomized cases were conservative estimates LOCF. 

n       There was lack of rigor in their methodology (could have calculated an RR but used OR, overestimated the NNT).

n       Although a number of trials reported f/u outcome data, this was rarely compared to a no treatment control group, so we know little about the long-term effectiveness of CBT.   

Clinical Bottom Line: There is little to no evidence for specific benefit for CBT in childhood anxiety.  The positive outcome may be due to the general effect of therapy, as there were no active controls.  We are uncertain whether CBT is effective in children in the long term/whether it is as effective as other treatments. 

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Author:
Georgette De Jesus

Chairman's Rounds March 13, 2006

Prevalence Study: Prevalence of Atypical Antipsychotic Prescription Claims in Youth with Commercial Insurance


Bottom Line
: This study looks at the 1-year prevalence of atypical antipsychotic use (based on prescription claims database) by age and sex among children in US with private insurance. Twenty percent of all prescriptions for atypicals (when you take all the age groups) were for pts 19 y/o or younger. Prescription claims for atypicals were more than twice as high for males.  More than 25% of male pts with at least one claim for atypicals were <9y/o.

Background
:
-Data supporting the safety and efficacy of atypicals in children and adolescents are limited.
-These meds are not FDA approved for the pediatric population
-There is evidence suggesting side effects may be greater in the pediatric population
-These medications are often used off-label to treat behavioral conditions, rather than actual psychosis.
-There is evidence that atypical antipsychotic use in the pediatric population is on the rise, and more than doubled from 1996 to 2001.


Reference
: Curtis LH et al. Prevalence of Atypical Antipsychotic Durg Use Among Commercially Insured Youths in the United States. Arch Pediatr Adolesc Med. 2005; 159: 362-366.

Methods:

Design- Period Prevalence Study

Setting- US

Patient Population:

-Data on prescription medication claims were collected from the Advance PCS database (largest pharmaceutical benefit manager in the US at the time of the study) for the period of Jan-Dec 2001

-Pt's with at least one prescription drug claim were included.

Exclusions: Adults and pts whose carrier used a single identifier for multiple family members

-Data set (population)- 2 data sets, one including all ages (does not specify how large) and another with 6,213,824 patients 19 years or younger with prescription claim data.  

Analysis:

-Claims for clozapine, olanzapine, quetiapine, risperidone and ziprasidone

-Period prevalence for each atypical antipsychotic was calculated individually

-Stratified by sex and age

-x² or Fisher exact tests for differences in proportion/prevalence rates

Follow-up: N/A

Validity: Was the patient sample clearly defined? Yes.  Comparison groups delineated? Yes.  Were all patients accounted for and analyzed? Yes. Is the population representative of our population? Yes and no- it is representative of the privately insured, but not of the uninsured or Medicaid pts.. 

Results For pt characteristics, see Table 1.  Of all age groups (incl adults), 81,091 pts had at least one claim for an atypical- of these 20.5% were aged 19 or younger.  Prevalence of atypical use was more than twice as high for males, and males tended to be younger.  Among children 9 y/o and younger, the annual prevalence of atypical use was about 3.5 times higher in boys than girls.  More than a fourth of male pts with at least one claim for atypicals were age 9 or younger.  Prevalence peaked in males aged 10-14 and in females aged 15-19.  Risperidone was the most commonly used in both females and males. Overall 0.3% of youths in the commercially insured population received atypicals (compare this to another study that showed 1.6% of Texas Medicaid enrollees aged 19 and younger received atypicals).

Comments: Strenghts: Large database, impressively large population. Stratified by age and gender. Weaknesses: AdvancePCS data do not include prescriptions filled in inpatient or institutionalized settings.  Dataset does not include patients without private insurance.  Out of plan drug use was not captured.  No guarantee pts were taking meds.  Pts with a lower socioeconomic level were not represented.  Diagnosis unknown.

 

 
 

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Author:  Chris Spongberg
Chairman's Rounds  March 26, 2006

Antidepressant Medication in Children

Clinical Question:  How has the use of antidepressant medication in children <18 yo during 1997-2002 changed, if at all.  And, what may be driving some of these changes.

Reference: National Estimates of Antidepressant Medication Use Among US Children, 1997-2002.  Journal of the American Academy of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry. 45:3 March 2006 p 271-279

 Background: A threefold increase in the use of antidepressants has been reported among children <18 between 1987 and 1996, but only a number of these antidepressants have FDA approval for pediatric use.  Often, these medications are often used “off label” to treat depressive d/o’s and anxiety d/o’s.  There is also some evidence that the increased use is consistent with a proportional increase in diagnosis, although there is some variation between gender, race and ethnicity.

Objective:  Analyze the data from 1997 to 2002 in the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey (MEPS), which is a yearly survey of a nationally representative sample of civilian, non-institutionalized US households, to evaluate for changes in the use of antidepressants in children less than 18 years old.

Methods:

Design: – Period prevalence study.

Setting: United States

Population: All children under the age of 19 contained in the MEPS database which is a nationally representative household survey of health care use and costs conducted by the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality in conjunction with the National Center for Health Statistics.  See Table 1 for distribution of population characteristics.  Antidepressant use was defined by a Rx for TCA’s, SSRI’s, and MAO’s   See Table 4 for trends within the class of antidepressants

Analysis: National estimates for use of antidepressants in <19 year olds

-          Table 2 shows analysis for each calendar year 1997 thru 2002

-          Table 3 shows analysis by subgroups: age, sex, race/ethnicity, family income relative to the poverty line, census region, metropolitan statistical area vs. non-metropolitan statistical areas, health insurance coverage, and impairment as measured by the Columbia Impairment Scale

-          Table 4 shows analysis of SSRI vs TCA use by calendar year and age group 0-5, 6-12, and 13-18

-          Employed MEPS sampling weights which adjust for complex design and non response, as well as standard Z scores for complex design and correlation across individuals, utilizing STATA 8.2 for these statistical analysis

Follow-up:  N/A

Validity

The patient sample was clearly defined.  The comparison groups/subgroups were also delineated.  In the context of a survey response rate in the 60’s, all patients were accounted for and analyzed   The population is representative of our population as it included private, public, and uninsured patients, and captured office, hospital outpt/inpt, and emergency room visits

Results: Estimated prevalence of antidepressant use:

-          The percentage of all children receiving an antidep increased from 1.3% in 1997 (95% CI 0.9-1.6) to 1.8%  in 2002(95% CI 1.5-2.1), which represents approx. 1.4 mill. users in 2002.

-          The increase in use was primarily accounted for by adolescents (13-18 .yo) particularly  from 1999 to 2000, while no change occurred in younger children.

-          The highest use was also in the 13-18 age group, 3.9% in 2002.

-          Initially, males had a higher use but by 2002 the use rate was similar for males and females.

-          Use increased for both white and black children (1.7% to 2.4% and 0.3% to 0.9%) respectively, but not in Hispanic children.

-          While use increased more markedly among children from lower income families, by 2002 there was no statistically significant differences in antidepressant use among privately, publicly or uninsured children.

-          Use of SSRI’s increased from 0.8% (95% CI 0.6%-1.1%) in 1997 to 1.6% (95% CI 1.3%-1.9% p <0.001) in 2002, while there is no statistically significant change in TCA, there is a decrease in the 6-12 age group.

Comments:

Strengths – Large sample size, evaluated as group and subgroups, cross referenced parental self report of prescriptions with pharmacy database although unclear on how discrepancies were managed

Weaknesses –The database used does not address the issue of whether the antidep are appropriately prescribed, relied in part on the parents self recall and willingness to provide info.

 

CLINICAL BOTOM LINE:

The analysis indicated that the use of SSRI’s in adolescents doubled nationwide during 1997 to 2000, but remained stable from 2000 thru 2002.  The authors suggest this may be attributable to the publication of clinical trials in the late 90’s showing the efficacy of SSRI’s in the treatment of childhood depression.  Additionally, no increase was detected among children younger than 13 during this period.  Future study could involve analysis of antidep use from 2002-2005.

 

 

 

 

                                                                                                                                                                                               

 

 

Clinical Question:  How has the use of antidepressant medication in children <18 yo during 1997-2002 changed, if at all.  And, what may be driving some of these changes.

Reference: National Estimates of Antidepressant Medication Use Among US Children, 1997-2002.  Journal of the American Academy of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry. 45:3 March 2006 p 271-279

 Background: A threefold increase in the use of antidepressants has been reported among children <18 between 1987 and 1996, but only a number of these antidepressants have FDA approval for pediatric use.  Often, these medications are often used “off label” to treat depressive d/o’s and anxiety d/o’s.  There is also some evidence that the increased use is consistent with a proportional increase in diagnosis, although there is some variation between gender, race and ethnicity.

Objective:  Analyze the data from 1997 to 2002 in the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey (MEPS), which is a yearly survey of a nationally representative sample of civilian, non-institutionalized US households, to evaluate for changes in the use of antidepressants in children less than 18 years old.

Methods:

Design: – Period prevalence study.

Setting: United States

Population: All children under the age of 19 contained in the MEPS database which is a nationally representative household survey of health care use and costs conducted by the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality in conjunction with the National Center for Health Statistics.  See Table 1 for distribution of population characteristics.  Antidepressant use was defined by a Rx for TCA’s, SSRI’s, and MAO’s   See Table 4 for trends within the class of antidepressants

Analysis: National estimates for use of antidepressants in <19 year olds

-          Table 2 shows analysis for each calendar year 1997 thru 2002

-          Table 3 shows analysis by subgroups: age, sex, race/ethnicity, family income relative to the poverty line, census region, metropolitan statistical area vs. non-metropolitan statistical areas, health insurance coverage, and impairment as measured by the Columbia Impairment Scale

-          Table 4 shows analysis of SSRI vs TCA use by calendar year and age group 0-5, 6-12, and 13-18

-          Employed MEPS sampling weights which adjust for complex design and non response, as well as standard Z scores for complex design and correlation across individuals, utilizing STATA 8.2 for these statistical analysis

Follow-up:  N/A

Validity

The patient sample was clearly defined.  The comparison groups/subgroups were also delineated.  In the context of a survey response rate in the 60’s, all patients were accounted for and analyzed   The population is representative of our population as it included private, public, and uninsured patients, and captured office, hospital outpt/inpt, and emergency room visits

Results: Estimated prevalence of antidepressant use:

-          The percentage of all children receiving an antidep increased from 1.3% in 1997 (95% CI 0.9-1.6) to 1.8%  in 2002(95% CI 1.5-2.1), which represents approx. 1.4 mill. users in 2002.

-          The increase in use was primarily accounted for by adolescents (13-18 .yo) particularly  from 1999 to 2000, while no change occurred in younger children.

-          The highest use was also in the 13-18 age group, 3.9% in 2002.

-          Initially, males had a higher use but by 2002 the use rate was similar for males and females.

-          Use increased for both white and black children (1.7% to 2.4% and 0.3% to 0.9%) respectively, but not in Hispanic children.

-          While use increased more markedly among children from lower income families, by 2002 there was no statistically significant differences in antidepressant use among privately, publicly or uninsured children.

-          Use of SSRI’s increased from 0.8% (95% CI 0.6%-1.1%) in 1997 to 1.6% (95% CI 1.3%-1.9% p <0.001) in 2002, while there is no statistically significant change in TCA, there is a decrease in the 6-12 age group.

Comments:

Strengths – Large sample size, evaluated as group and subgroups, cross referenced parental self report of prescriptions with pharmacy database although unclear on how discrepancies were managed

Weaknesses –The database used does not address the issue of whether the antidep are appropriately prescribed, relied in part on the parents self recall and willingness to provide info.

 CLINICAL BOTOM LINE:

The analysis indicated that the use of SSRI’s in adolescents doubled nationwide during 1997 to 2000, but remained stable from 2000 thru 2002.  The authors suggest this may be attributable to the publication of clinical trials in the late 90’s showing the efficacy of SSRI’s in the treatment of childhood depression.  Additionally, no increase was detected among children younger than 13 during this period.  Future study could involve analysis of antidep use from 2002-2005.

 

 

 

 

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Author:
Stephen T. Vas

Risperidone in Childen with Autism Spectrum Disorders       

Chairman's Rounds March 27, 2006

Clinical Question:  Is long-term use of risperidone for behavioral control in children with autism spectrum disorders superior to short term use in terms of efficacy and safety?

Reference:  Long-Term Effects of Risperidone in Children With Autism Spectrum Disorders: A Placebo Discontinuation Study. Troost PW et al. Journal of American Academic Child and Adolescent Psychiatry. 44:11; 1137-1144, November 2005.

Background:  Atypical antipsychotic medications have been shown to be effective short-term agents for behavioral management of hyperactivity, self-injurious behavior, aggression, stereotypies, and extreme change intolerance in children with autism spectrum disorders.  There have been little data regarding longer-term effects of these pharmaceutical agents.

Objective:   To compare relapse rates in behavioral symptoms (irritability, aggression, agitation, sterotypy, social withdrawal) in two groups of children with autistic spectrum disorders who have either been discontinued from risperidone treatment or maintained on it.

Methods: 

Design/Setting  - Blinded, randomized, multisite, site-stratified, controlled trial—discontinuation/placebo vs.  risperidone maintenance 8 weeks after 24-weeek open-label risperidone treatment. Participants recruited from university child and adolescent psychiatry centers in the Netherlands.

Inclusion criteria -  Age 5-17yo, meeting DSM-IV-TR criteria for a pervasive developmental disorder (autistic disorder, Asperger disorder, or pervasive developmental disorder NOS); diagnoses made by Autism Diagnostic Interview-Revised (ADI-R) combined with clinical judgement; patients must demonstrate clinically significant behavioral problems (tantrums, aggression, self-injurious behavior, or combination thereof) defined as rating of moderate or higher on Clinical Global Impressions of Severity Scale (CGI-S) as determined by clinician and concomitant score of 18 or higher on Irritability Scale of the Aberrant Behavior Checklist (ABC) (rated by parent and confirmed by child psychiatrist);  must respond  to short-term risperidone tx; wt ≥ 15kg; “mental age” ≥ 18months; use of stimulants allowed for comorbid ADHD as long as no adjustments of dosage during study; anticonvulsants allowed for treatment of seizure d/o if dose stable ≥ 4weeks and seizure free for ≥6months.  Washout of ineffective alternate pharmacologic treatment over 7-28 days prior to study. Consent of parent and of patient if patient over 12 years old.

Exclusion criteria – Not meeting inclusion criteria.  Use of effective alternate pharmacologic treatment. 

Population- 77 pts screened®41 did not meet inclusion criteria or unwilling to give final consent®36 pts all treated with risperidone®10 did not respond by 8-weeks®26 patients identified as short-term responders and entered into complete study®2 subjects discontinued over next four months due to unacceptable weight®pts randomized into 2 groups of 12 (d/c vs. maintenance).  See Table 1.

Treatment protocol – Pt’s screened at baseline used Vineland Adaptive Behavioral Scales (semistructured interview) to assess skills in communication, daily living, socialization, and motor domains. Parents/caregivers educated about behavioral measures to prevent wt gain associated with atypical antipsychotic meds. Pt’s initially dosed by weight. Dose adjustments permitted according to clinical assessment of improvement vs. adverse events to maximum dose of 4mg for children < 45kg and 6mg for children weighing > 45kg. Pts treated for 8 weeks and assessed for short-term response (as defined as ≥ 25% ABC irritability score reduction and rating of “much improved” or “very much improved” on CGI-S); non-responders excluded from study. Patients randomized to continuation vs. discontinuation group. Subjects seen every 4 weeks for assessments of efficacy, safety, and possible dose adjustments plus weekly during “discontinuation phase).  Open-label phase for 24-weeks. Discontinuation phase:  either maintained for 8 weeks on risperidone or dose reduced by 25% each week for three weeks followed by placebo for 5 weeks.

Outcomes  - PRIMARY-differences in relapse rates between treatment groups (relapse defined as occurrence of CGI-SC scores of “much worse” or “very much worse” for ≥ 2 consecutive weeks when compared to baseline of discontinuation phase and minimum increase of 25% increase in Irritability score on most recent ABC (time –to relapse compared using Kaplan-Meier procedure). SECONDARY OUTCOMES between group baseline to endpoint changes in all ABC scores) using Mann-Whentey U test, 2-sided. Prestudy baseline to 24 open-label endpoint changes) all subscales of ABC, vital signs, laboratory test results, and weight) examined w/ 2-sided Wilcoxon signed rank test (Z-scores using Dutch population normative growth/weight changes). Safety monitored by routine lab tests, EKG, PE before treatment and at wks 8, 24, and study end. Wt and vitals q4weeks in open-label phase and weekly at d/c phase. Each visit investigators inquired about intercurrent illnesses, health problems, concomitant meds, and administered 32-item questionnaire about energy level, muscle stiffness, motor restlessness, bowel/bladder habits, sleep, and appetite. Simpson-Angus Scale and AIMS for neuroleptic-related SE.  AE rated by severity, duration, management and outcome.

Validity: Patients randomized? à YES randomization sequence generated by outside vendor and stratified by investigation site// Randomization blinded? à pts, caregivers and evaluators all unaware of assignment of placebo vs. tx// Patients analyzed in groups to which they were randomized? à YES Pt’s evaluated within group originally assigned regardless of tx  YES ITT analysis for all pts enrolled using LOCF// Groups similar w/ respect to known prognostic factors? à YES See Table 1.  // Groups treated equally except for intervention? à YES  // Follow-up complete? à YES // All patients accounted for at end of study? à YES. 10 short-term nonresponders described as similar to remainder in terms of baseline characteristics including age, sex, race, mental development, educational placement, DSM-IV dx, ABC subscores, CGI, previous meds and concomitant meds (raw data not shown).

Results: PRIMARY OUTCOME: Figure 2.  8 of 12 (67%) in placebo grp relapsed vs. 3/12 (25%) of risperidone grp (p=0.049, one-sided).  Mean time to relapse in placebo 6±1 wks vs. 7±1 wks in risp grp.  ARR was 0.42. NNH was 3—“For every 3 children with autistic spectrum disorders discontinued from risperidone treatment there was an incident of 1 child who demonstrated a relapse in behavioral problems.” There were no significant difference btwn groups in any of the ABC sub-scores except for irritability.  All subscales improved significantly from baseline to end of open-label phase and all subscales except for irritability remained significantly improved from baseline to end of discontinuation phase. Effect sizes on irritability between two groups can be estimated at cohen’s d=0.8 (“large effect size”). Baseline-to-discontinuation effect sizes are as follows: for irritability cohen’s d=1.33 (“very large effect size”); for social withdrawal cohen’s d=1.13 (very large effect size); for stereotypy cohen’s d=0.42 (“medium effect size”); for hyperactivity cohen’s d=1.02 (“large effect”); for inappropriate speech cohen’s d=0.67 (“medium effect size”). Side Effects See Table 3. Significant increased appetite and weight gain (5.7±2.8kg in 24 wks; range 1.2-11.7kg; Z=4.46, p<0.0001, two-sided).  All side effects “mild-to-moderate” range. No significant changes in AIMS and Simpson-Angus.  Neuro se included tremor (once), muscle rigidity (twice), restlessness (twice).  Authors do not compare two groups at end of discontinuation phase. No clinically meaningful changes in individual or mean lab tests/vitals/EKGs.   

 Strengths: Adequately powered blinded RCT.  Not clearly sponsored by Janssen Cilag BV.

Limitations:  a) Heterogeneous diagnoses within “autism spectrum disorder” (pdd NOS?) limits precision, especially given small sample sizes. b) Large average or above-average IQ may limit generalizability c) ethnically homogenous d) no information about concomitant psychotherapy, medical comorbitities, home-life structure, social-economic status e) no full placebo control f) no comparison of groups for side-effects g) Table 2 unclear regarding age of subjects.

Comments:  a) Without placebo group, how do we know what is specific effect of atypical antipsychotic versus non-specific structured visits. b) For study purporting to study long-term effects of risperidone treatment this study 6 months is hardly long-term: what are brain developmental sequelae, hormonal/sexual development sequelae, neurologic and metabolic sequelae? Initial responses attenuated somewhat by 24 weeks. What is long-term benefit? How much will they attenuate further out?  c) Side-effect comparison btwn groups is shockingly absent! Why? d) Significant weight gain in just 6-months. Risk of atypicals may be more justified in psychosis where agents presumably treating aspect of underlying pathology vs. behavioral mgmt in autism spectrum disorders, for children with communication deficits who thus have difficulty expressing any subjective benefit or harm. No significant difference btwn 2 groups except for irritability. Is this a justification for continued use even if atypicals started? Is this a type-II error or just earlier relapsing ssx compared to others? Does benefit otherwise persist? Again difficult to tell with just 8-week f/u.  f) What of other measures such as school performance? Atypicals may cloud cognitive functioning (less of an issue with risperidone) So may anxiety, a significant side-effect. g) Anxiety may also aggravate behavioral problems. h) How do we generalize with from this small heterogeneous group? Authors say short-term non-responders same at baseline in terms of sex, age, race, mental development, educational placement, DSM-IV dx, ABC subscores, CGI, previous meds, concomitant meds. Don’t show data, but must assume that this is true. But with such a small heterogeneous sample of diagnoses, what does it mean that 28% did not respond in 8-wks?  

Clinical Bottom Line: Study shows short-term benefit persisting approximately 2 months after 4-month treatment of

 risperidone with exception of irritability. Does not show non-specific benefit or side-by-side comparison of SE

between grps. 6-month study only.  Would be extremely reluctant to start a child w/ autistic spectrum d/o on risperidone

for behavioral treatment. If this behavior was severely disruptive, would consider short-term use only and look for alternate

means to manage irritability.

 

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Author:
Seamus Bhatt-Mackin

Suicidality In Pediatric Patients

Chairman’s Rounds     April 10th 2006

Clinical Question:  Do SRI antidepressant drugs increase suicidality in pediatric patients?

Suicidality in Pediatric Patients Treated With Antidepressant Drugs    Arch Gen Psychiatry 2006; 63:332-9

Background:  Suicide is the third leading cause of death in the United States at ages 10 through 24 years.  There are suggestions that SRI antidepressants increase suicidal risk; in addition, antidepressant drugs have not been demonstrated to reduce short-term suicidal risk.

Methods:

Types of studies – randomized placebo-controlled trials
Study sources
--  23 trials conducted in 9 drug development programs (unpublished) and 1 trial in a NIMH-sponsored multicenter trial (published)
Inclusion criteria
– placebo-controlled trials submitted to the FDA and TADS (March, JAMA 2004)
Studies screened vs. accepted
-  4 trials had no suicide related events (SRE) in the drug or placebo group (bupropion in ADHD, 2 trials of nefazodone in MDD, venlafaxine xr in GAD).  17 of 24 included depression rating scales with an item related to suicide (no description of which studies were excluded)
Description of therapy
– treatment with an antidepressant medication (citalopram, fluoxetine, paroxetine, sertraline, venlafaxine, mirtazepine) for 4 to 16 weeks compared to placebo. 
Patient population
– pediatric patients diagnosed with MDD, OCD, GAD, ADHD
Exposure window
– adverse events were included if they occurred within the double-blind acute treatment period or within 1 day of the end of this period.  (what about drop-out from the original studies?)
Data collection/extraction
– Two types of data were evaluated and analyzed. For adverse event data, the manufacturers of the 9 drugs searched their own internal databases for suicide-related events (SRE) using text strings (suic, overdos, attempt, cut, gas, hang, hung, jump, mutilate-, overdos-, self damage-, self harm, self inflict, self-injur-, shoot, slash, suic-), performed by personnel blinded to the treatment assignment.  Narrative summaries were then provided for each of the events.  For suicide item score data, rating scales on a subset of the studies (Children’s Depression Rating Scale-Revised, Hamilton Depression Rating Scale, Montgomerty Asberg Depression Rating Scale).
Outcomes For the adverse event data (SRE) narratives were categorized by an expert group at Columbia U. into 5 groups (i. suicide attempt, ii. preparatory actions toward immediate suicidal behavior, iii. suicidal ideation, iv. self-injury with intent unknown, v. injury events with not enough information)

Primary Outcome   “suicidal behavior or ideation”  = i. + ii + iii
Secondary Outcome   “possible suicidal behavior or ideation”  =  i. + ii. + iii. + iv. + v

For the suicide item data from depression scales in 17 of 24 trials, an increase of 1 pt or more on item 3 of HAM-D, 2 pts on CDRS-R or MADRS; “worsening of suicidality” if patient had baseline score, “emergence of suicidality” if no baseline score

Classification of SREs –  No completed suicides. 427 potential suicide-related adverse events.  260 events classified as other psychiatric or medical events not related to suicidality (167 remain); 11 classified as self-injury with nonsuicidal intent (156 remain); 47 occurred in 21 patients who had more than 1 event (130 unique patients); 21 events occurred outside exposure window (109 remain).  Add 11 events from TADS (see below) for a total of 120 SREs. 

Possible explanatory variables – age, sex, history of suicide attempt or ideation were examined by a stratified analysis.  Attributes of primary trials were examined, including inclusion and exclusion criteria; no attribute consistently explained the observed differences in the risk estimates between trials within or between drug development programs.

Data analysis – risk ratio = relative risk;          risk difference = absolute risk reduction (1/NNT)

Data were pooled to generate an overall estimate using both fixed-effects and random-effects approaches.  The test for heterogeneity was not significant.

Validity:
Focused clinical question? –   yes                                  Inclusion criteria appropriate? – yes
Relevant studies omitted? –  unclear                   Studies appraised for validity? –  hopefully (=no)
Assessments of studies reproducible? – unclear                Homogeneity among study results? – unclear

Results:

Suicide-related events:

RR for primary outcome in MDD treated with SSRI                 1.66 (95% CI, 1.02-2.68)

RR for primary outcome in all conditions (MDD, GAD, OCD)     1.95 (95% CI, 1.28-2.98)

Primary Outcome (n = 89 / 3841 patients; risk difference 0.01 (95% CI, 0.01-0.02)

Secondary Outcome (n = 120 / 3841 patients; risk difference 0.02 (95% CI 0.01-0.03)

TADS SRE data (drug, n = 9 / 109 patients; placebo, n = 2 / 112); risk difference 0.064 (95% CI, *smbm*)

Suicide Item Scores:
Risk ratio for “worsening of suicidality”                  0.92                 (95% CI, 0.76-1.11)Risk ratio for “emergence of suicidality”                 0.93                (95% CI, 0.75-1.15) 

Sensitivity analysis:  comparison between a fixed-effects model and a random-effects model; comparison between the primary and secondary outcome; but not? Comparison between suicide-related events and suicide item scores? 

Strengths –  increased power with combination of data sets

Weaknessessmall sample size, short-term observation period, variability of diagnosis, broad range of “pediatric” age group, flexible dosing, studies not intended to address this question, different evaluators from each drug company construct a narrative and unmasking of their blinding during the construction of the narrative, the increase seen in adverse event data not also found in the suicide item score data, primary outcome measure for the meta-analysis was not a primary outcome measure for the studies, unpublished data with little opportunity to judge the quality of the original studies 

Comments:  parents and the rights of minors; morbidity of untreated psychiatric illness; published data and the emergence of trial registries; unwieldy politics surrounding this issue 

“suicidal ideation, as ascertained incidentally in trials, is a convenient but probably unreliable, nonequivalent, and potentially misleading surrogate for suicidal behavior (attempts or suicides)”

“Typically, antidepressant trials involve rates of suicides and attempts that are not lower than in other clinical samples of depressed patients, despite initial screening and close clinical monitoring.”

– Baldessarini, commentary on this meta-analysis in accompanying commentary  

CLINICAL BOTTOM LINE

Antidepressant drugs may increase “suicide-related events”, but they have not been shown to increase suicide attempts or suicide completions. 

(BLACK BOX WARNING: methods differ significantly between the drug-company data and TADS data, but they are simply combined at the end; “only the TADS showed a statistically significant excess of suicidality in the drug treated group)

      1.      What is the direction of effect?

2.      What is the size of effect (and the uncertainty surrounding that effect)?

3.      Is the effect consistent across studies?

4.      What is the strength of evidence for the effect? 

Fixed-effect model

[In meta-analysis:] A model that calculates a pooled effect estimate using the assumption that all observed variation between studies is caused by the play of chance. Studies are assumed to be measuring the same overall effect. An alternative model is the random-effects model.

 

Random-effects model

[In meta-analysis:] A statistical model in which both within-study sampling error (variance) and between-studies variation are included in the assessment of the uncertainty (confidence interval) of the results of a meta-analysis. See also fixed-effect model. When there is heterogeneity among the results of the included studies beyond chance, random-effects models will give wider confidence intervals than fixed-effect models.

 

Sensitivity analysis

An analysis used to determine how sensitive the results of a study or systematic review are to changes in how it was done.  Sensitivity analyses are used to assess how robust the results are to uncertain decisions or assumptions about the data and the methods that were used.

 

Heterogeneity

1.  Used in a general sense to describe the variation in, or diversity of, participants, interventions, and measurement of outcomes across a set of studies, or the variation in internal validity of those studies.

2.  Used specifically, as statistical heterogeneity, to describe the degree of variation in the effect estimates from a set of studies. Also used to indicate the presence of variability among studies beyond the amount expected due solely to the play of chance.

See also homogeneous, I2.

 

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